AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
TX-33 House winner?
The odds
97%Colin Allred
- Colin Allred97%▲ 1
- Patrick David Gillespie3%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Colin Allred: 97% on Oct 19, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Allred | 97% | ▲ 1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 504 |
| Patrick David Gillespie | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $28.57 | 833 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Colin Allred, Patrick David Gillespie
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Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Brazos County early voting paces ahead of 2022 midtermsBRYAN, Texas (KBTX) - After four days of early voting, nearly 15% of Brazos County’s registered voters have already voted. Voter tallies released by Brazos County election officials show 19,981 people had voted early or by mail through… -
New Texas Democratic group hopes to pump millions into neglected party infrastructureby Jasper Scherer, The Texas Tribune June 6, 2024 A team of Democratic strategists unveiled a new group Thursday that aims to turn Texas blue by building up the party’s campaign infrastructure over multiple elections — offering a more… -
James Talarico isn’t content to just attack. That’s the right approachDallas News State Rep. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee for Senate, takes the stage to addresses supporters at a rally on Sunday in Plano. If state Rep. James Talarico becomes the next U.S. senator from the great state of Texas, I… -
First Day Of Early Voting In Texas Breaks Records In Blue, Urban CountiesTwo Democratic areas in Texas posted record-breaking first-day early voting numbers Monday, which could spell trouble for Republicans. Dallas and Harris County had more voters than ever when early voting began Monday, which was a good sign… - New survey shows independent voters more likely to support Dems in Texas electionsAUSTIN, Texas — A new survey from the University of Houston's Hobby School of Public Affairs shows the majority of likely voters in Texas who identify themselves as independents plan to support statewide Democrats this November. The 2026…
- Could Texas turn blue?Independent, nonpartisan politics — the best arguments from the left, right, and center, every weekday. Watch Tangle break down the day's biggest political debates — arguments from the left, right, and center. Ken Paxton and James Talarico…
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Transcript: Trump Rages over Texas Senate Race—and Even Fox Is RattledThe following is a lightly edited transcript of the October 19 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here. So we thought we’d check on the state of things with Nancy Zdunkewicz, a Democratic pollster who’s based in Texas and… -
How Gina Hinojosa went from progressive to populist, emerging as Greg Abbott’s most formidable challengerBy Kayla Guo, The Texas Tribune October 16, 2026 People weren’t exactly knocking down Gina Hinojosa’s door to get her to run for governor last year. When Beto O’Rourke tried to assemble a slate of Texas’ Democratic stars to run for… -
Talarico raises $64 million in third quarter, more than any U.S. Senate candidate on recordWASHINGTON (Texas Tribune) - James Talarico raised $64 million in the third quarter of the year, his campaign announced — the largest fundraising haul on record for a U.S. Senate candidate in any state for this period. The Democrat has now… -
James Talarico Slams ICE as Donald Trump's 'Secret Police' But Doesn't Call for Its Abolition During Town HallJames Talarico had a less progressive take on ICE than some of his contemporaries. Oct. 15 2026, Published 5:28 p.m. ET Texas Senate candidate James Talarico made an eye-opening comment about ICE at a CNN town hall on October 14, saying… -
'Holy crap': GOP senator scrambles over 'mind blowing' donations to Paxton opponentSen. Bernie Moreno (R-OH) called the record fundraising haul of the Democrat running against Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R-TX) “mind blowing,” then warned of diminishing returns. Semafor congressional bureau chief Burgess Everett…
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AL-03 House winner?
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AL-04 House winner?
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions