AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
Install
TX-18 House winner?
The odds
98%Christian Menefee
- Christian Menefee98%
- Ronald Whitfield2%
How the odds have moved
Christian Menefee: 98% on Oct 19, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Menefee | 98% | 96¢ | 99¢ | 481 | ||
| Ronald Whitfield | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | 917 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Christian Menefee, Ronald Whitfield
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Christian Menefee Backs Legislation to Protect Domestic Violence SurvivorsIn honor of Domestic Violence Awareness Month, Representative Christian Menefee (D-TX) is backing two bills aimed at strengthening protections for survivors, expanding access to support services and preventing domestic violence. The Family… -
Texas election 2026: Candidates, key races, what Houston voters need to knowHOUSTON - Voting has begun for the Nov. 3 midterms in Texas for numerous races affecting federal, state and local politics. FOX 26 has you covered with everything you need to know before you head to the polls to cast your ballot. Let's… -
Beto O’Rourke says he can ‘feel the energy’ on the ground in TexasFormer Democratic candidate Beto O’Rourke claims the energy in Texas is “even greater” than in his 2018 run when he came within 3 percentage points of incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX). When asked by the Washington Examiner about the energy… - Press Release: Menefee Backs Domestic Violence Prevention MeasuresMenefee backs domestic violence measures: Congressman Christian D. Menefee said he supports the “Family Violence Prevention and Services Improvement Act of 2026” and a “National Domestic Violence Awareness Month Resolution” during Domestic…
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200 supporters rally for Hinojosa as Abbott is expected to campaign in Houston-area this weekDemocratic candidate for governor Gina Hinojosa rallies with supporters the day before the state of early voting. The race has tightened in recent weeks. Governor Greg Abbott is also expected to spend time in the southeast Texas this week… -
‘Corruption to Go Around’: How Dems Are Preparing to Investigate Trump After the MidtermsEarlier this year, House Speaker Mike Johnson warned a room of Christian conservatives that if Democrats manage to retake Congress in the midterm elections, “impeachment is not even the big concern.” “They will turn every committee of… -
Democrats 'champing at the bit' to make Mike Johnson's darkest fears a reality: reportHouse Speaker Mike Johnson warned a room of Christian conservatives earlier this year about what Democrats would do with a House majority, and a new report reveals Democrats are already preparing to do exactly that. Johnson hysterically… -
What’s on the ballot? A guide to midterm electionsThe midterms are just around the corner. Harris County voters will cast their ballots for dozens of races during the early voting period beginning Oct. 19 to Oct. 30, and on Election Day on Nov. 3. The races range from the closely watched… -
James Talarico Slams ICE as Donald Trump's 'Secret Police' But Doesn't Call for Its Abolition During Town HallJames Talarico had a less progressive take on ICE than some of his contemporaries. Oct. 15 2026, Published 5:28 p.m. ET Texas Senate candidate James Talarico made an eye-opening comment about ICE at a CNN town hall on October 14, saying… -
Talarico says he doesn’t support abolishing ICE but criticizes their work under Trump as “secret police”The comment is a break with a faction of Democrats, including ones in Texas, who have called for overhauling or abolishing ICE. As recently as February, Talarico had said he wanted to “tear down this secret police force.” In one of his… - Affordability Remains Top Concern For Houston VotersRepresentative Christian Menefee (D-TX) heard from hundreds of constituents during his first-ever telephone town hall this week, addressing a range of affordability-focused concerns shared by voters across the country. During the event…
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Early Voting Begins Monday for 2026 Fall General Election: Texas Voters Hold the Power to Shape HistoryHOUSTON, TX — Democracy is about to clock in for another Texas-sized election, and this time, the stakes stretch from neighborhood streets to the halls of Congress. Beginning Monday, October 19, 2026, at 7 a.m., millions of Texans can…
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All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
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- Shomari Figures31%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
99%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt99%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%▲ 1
AL-06 House winner?
97%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer97%▼ 1
- Maurice Mercer3%▲ 1
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions