AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
Install
TX-11 House winner?
The odds
96%August Pfluger
- August Pfluger96%
- Claire Reynolds4%
How the odds have moved
August Pfluger: 97% on Oct 19, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August Pfluger | 96% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 429 | |
| Claire Reynolds | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | 1.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, August Pfluger, Claire Reynolds
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Impeachment is back on the menuThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/21/2026 01:40 PM EDT Impeachment dominated much of Donald Trump’s first presidency. Voters think it should come back for a sequel. Half of Americans… - EXCLUSIVE: Republican Study Committee leadership celebrates its 53rd birthday by looking to its future wins for House conservatives53 years ago, Republicans in Congress founded the Republican Study Committee (RSC), and Rep. August Pfluger (R., Texas), its current chairman, is using its latest birthday to argue that the caucus is the most relevant it has ever been…
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Mystic Alerts bill signed into law(The Center Square) – President Donald Trump has signed a bill into law to expand wireless emergency alerts and enhance emergency preparedness for disasters. The Mystic Alerts Act unanimously passed both houses of Congress earlier this… -
Cruz Applauds New Law as President Trump Signs Emergency Alerts LegislationThis legislation allows wireless emergency alerts (WEAs) to be delivered via satellite communications technologies when traditional cellular networks are unavailable during emergencies. Texas Border Business 2022 Cruz Applauds New Law as… -
Emergency weather alerts may be sent via satellite under new “Mystic Alerts Act”by Emily Foxhall, The Texas Tribune October 23, 2026 Under a new federal law, National Weather Service warnings of life-threatening flash floods or other emergencies could be sent to cellphones via satellite if cell service goes down. The… -
EXCLUSIVE: RSC Members Tout Trump’s SNAP Fraud Crackdown Ahead of MidtermsRepublican Study Committee members praised Trump's crackdown on nearly $42 million in SNAP fraud and emphasized the need to continue the initiative. The post EXCLUSIVE: RSC Members Tout Trump’s SNAP Fraud Crackdown Ahead of Midterms… -
2026 Candidate Q&A: Texas’s 11th Congressional District August Pfluger and Claire ReynoldsThe following Q&A was sent to each candidate in August 2026. Responses provided were submitted by the Sun’s press deadline in mid-October and fit within a given wordcount. Why did you choose to run for Congress? What part of the district… -
Susan Werner and Walter Bryant race for justice of peaceSAN ANGELO, Texas (Concho Valley Homepage) — Two candidates are seeking the position of Tom Green County justice of the peace for Precinct 1 in the upcoming November general election. Republican incumbent Susan Werner and Democratic… -
2026 November Election Guide: Candidate Q&As, polling locations and moreElection day is fast approaching, and registered voters in Williamson County can cast ballots in local, state and federal races. Early voting runs from October 19-30. Polls are open daily, from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m., except for Sunday, October… -
2026 Williamson County Election: Sample BallotThe following races and propositions will appear on November 2026 ballots in Williamson County. Please note, what appears on a voter's actual ballot may vary based on where they live. Ken Paxton — Republican Party James Talarico —… -
Chairman Pfluger Unveils USAFA Board of Visitors Semiannual Report Ahead of Meeting in Colorado SpringsCongressman August Pfluger (TX-11), Chairman of the United States Air Force Academy (USAFA) Board of Visitors (BoV), formally sent the Board's comprehensive, forward-looking semiannual report of recommendations for the Academy to Secretary… - Press Release: August Pfluger Releases USAFA Board of Visitors Semiannual Report Ahead of Colorado Springs MeetingUSAFA board report released: Rep. August Pfluger, who chairs the U.S. Air Force Academy Board of Visitors, said he sent the board’s semiannual report and recommendations to Secretary of War Pete Hegseth ahead of a meeting in Colorado…
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AL-03 House winner?
99%Mike Rogers
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AL-04 House winner?
99%Robert Aderholt
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AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
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AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions