AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
TX-02 House winner?
The odds
89%Steve Toth
- Steve Toth89%▼ 2
- Shaun Finnie8%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Steve Toth: 93% on Oct 19, 89% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Toth | 89% | ▼ 2 | 87¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 768 |
| Shaun Finnie | 8% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $12.20 | 977 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Steve Toth, Shaun Finnie
Search ›- Leaders discuss flood mitigation for Greater HoustonOn Oct. 16, federal, state and local leaders met to discuss future collaboration on regional flood mitigation projects during a meeting closed to the public but open to the media. Federal Emergency Management Agency officials, as well as…
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Filipino Nightclub, Parisian Restaurant: Rep. Dan Crenshaw’s Campaign Went TravelingFederal records indicate the Texas Republican, who lost reelection, made a series of uncommon international expenditures. Rep. Dan Crenshaw’s campaign committee recently reported travel expenses across several European and Asian countries… -
INTERVIEW: Steve Toth explains his break from Tucker Carlson, who “hates Jewish people”: “I’m sorry, who did you mention?”In October, 2025, Tucker Carlson posted an interview with Texas State Representative Steve Toth on his show, during which he thanked Toth for primarying Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R., Texas). Carlson told Toth that he believes that Toth will… -
INTERVIEW: Steve Toth served with James Talarico in the Texas legislature, and he has a warning for Americans: “I don’t know of anybody who is more proficient in lying than this guy”For years, State Representatives Steve Toth and James Talarico served together in the Texas legislature. Now, both have their sights set on Washington, D.C. — Toth after defeating Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R., Texas) in a primary and Talarico is… -
Paxton's faith-based attacks in question as he can't name the last church he attendedKen Paxton has made religion a central theme in his Senate race against seminarian James Talarico in Texas. Yet he hasn’t identified a church where he worships or said whether he goes regularly, according to a Houston Chronicle and San…
Related markets
All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%
- Shomari Figures31%▲ 1
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
98%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt98%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer98%
- Maurice Mercer2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions