AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
Install
TX-01 House winner?
The odds
98%Nathaniel Moran
- Nathaniel Moran98%
- Yolanda R. Prince2%
How the odds have moved
Nathaniel Moran: 97% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Moran | 98% | 96¢ | 99¢ | 4.0K | ||
| Yolanda R. Prince | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | 4.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Nathaniel Moran, Yolanda R. Prince
Search ›- Press Release: Nathaniel Moran Seeks Artificial Intelligence Policy FellowRepresentative Moran is hiring an AI policy fellow to research emerging technology, legislation, and national security issues. Moran seeks AI policy fellow: Rep. Nathaniel Moran said his Washington office is hiring a paid Artificial…
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Who’s on your congressional ballot? Texas’ new map moves New Boston, De Kalb, Clarksville, Mount Pleasant and Daingerfield into new districtsTexarkana and Cass County stay with Moran. New Boston, De Kalb and all of Red River County move to Fallon; Morris and Titus counties go to Keith Self's Collin County-based district. Map, precinct list and candidates. TEXARKANA, Texas —… -
Letters to the editor: Oct. 24-25, 2026Published 5:16 am Saturday, October 24, 2026 I had not realized until preparing for this November’s elections that Big Sandy is slated to leave Congressional District 1, represented by Tyler’s Nathaniel Moran and, before him, Louie… - Trump endorses nearly every major Texas Republican candidate with two notable exceptionsPresident Donald Trump posted a list of endorsements Thursday morning that included nearly all Texas Republicans seeking statewide office — but with a couple of notable exceptions. Despite their MAGA loyalty, Trump didn’t say he’s backing…
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Congressman Moran Seeks Dedicated Artificial Intelligence Policy Fellow as Congress Works to Keep Pace with the TechnologyCongressman Nathaniel Moran (TX-01) is hiring an Artificial Intelligence Policy Fellow for his Washington office. The paid position will support his work on emerging technology and national security. The AI Policy Fellow will: Research AI… -
Anthropic Proposes AI Safety Bill as Congress Weighs Federal OversightNews and Information Media for the Public According to Bloomberg's account of the Politico report, the proposed restrictions could apply when an AI model threatens to kill or injure more than 50 people or cause more than $1 billion in… -
Early voting begins Monday in Gregg County: Here’s what to knowPublished 5:43 am Friday, October 16, 2026 Gregg County voters cast early ballots Monday through Oct. 30 for the Nov. 3 election. Several uncontested races are on the ballot in Gregg County, so only one candidate is listed. The only… -
Early voting begins Monday in Harrison County: Here’s what to knowPublished 5:43 am Friday, October 16, 2026 By Robin Y. Richardson Beginning Monday, Harrison County voters can cast ballots in two contested county races as well as in key state and national contests. Early voting for the Nov. 3 election… -
Clergy could opt back into Social Security if Trump signs billA bill sent to President Trump would allow eligible members of clergy to opt into having Social Security tax reductions. Clergy who have opted out of Social Security taxes may have a one-time chance to opt back in if President Donald Trump… -
U.S. Rep. Nathaniel Moran (R-Tyler) arrives ahead of historic midterm rallyKLTV.com U.S. Rep. Nathaniel Moran (R-Tyler) arrives ahead of historic midterm rally Smith County GOP chair calls VP visit 'historic event' Private school in Tyler builds personalized learning environments for dyslexic students Gail… -
‘That Was Bad’: JD Vance’s Tough-Guy Rally Act Falls Apart After an Awkward Confession Slips Out — and His Shot at Kamala Only Makes It WorseJD Vance has been crisscrossing the country, trying to keep Republicans from taking a beating in next month’s midterms. But on Tuesday, the East Texas wind had other plans. The vice president was only minutes into his remarks at a campaign… -
Vance, other Republican officials rally in East Texas for Paxton’s campaignPublished 5:45 am Wednesday, October 14, 2026 TYLER – Vice President JD Vance and a host of Republican federal and state elected officials rallied Tuesday in Tyler for Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in his U.S. Senate race. During the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions