AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
PA-12 House winner?
The odds
98%Summer Lee
- Summer Lee98%
- James Hayes2%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Summer Lee: 98% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer Lee | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 60.4K | |
| James Hayes | 2% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 2.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PA- House, Summer Lee, James Hayes
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Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District features rematch between Summer Lee and James HayesOctober 21, 2026 / 6:50 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee is facing a challenge from Republican James Hayes in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District. Lee believes that if midterm elections are a referendum on the… -
Pa. House passes bill to limit automatic license plate readersCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pa. House… -
"All Sides Now:" Pa. House District 143The candidates running in the 2026 Pa. House District 143 are, from left, Democrat Tim Hayes, independent Christopher Gambino and Republican Shelby Labs. It's a right-leaning district, according to the most recent voter registration data… -
'Brave' Bob Brooks Bravely Runs Away From PA House DebateI am a big fan of the British comedy group Monty Python. Their second-best movie (after "Monty Python’s Life of Brian") is "Monty Python and the Holy Grail." This is a comedy about the legendary King Arthur of Britain and his knights of… -
Election 2026: Candidates stake out positions in in 147th Dist. PA House raceA former management consultant with an MBA and scientist with a Ph.D. is looking to oust the incumbent Republican in the race for the Pennsylvania 147th House District race. Margaret Burke, 58, is the Democratic candidate seeking to unseat… -
PA House Approves Support For Shrinking News Operations Across StateHARRISBURG, PA —The state House has approved a legislative package intended to help support struggling and shrinking news operations across Pennsylvania. Approved on Wednesday were two measures introduced by Christopher Rabb, a… -
"Both Sides Now:" Pa. House District 141Democrat Tina Marie Davis and Republican Kenneth James Velez are running for state representative in Pennsylvania House District 141 in 2026. The district leans to the left with 22,216 voters registering as Democrats and 14,444 registered… -
PA House and Senate pass ban on phones in schools, recent study suggests the effects will be minimal - Glenside LocalOctober 22nd, 2026 | By Ryan Genova The Pennsylvania House and Senate have passed a bell-to-bell ban on cellphones in schools. The Senate approved Senate Bill 1014 47-3 on Wednesday after the State House passed it earlier this week by a… -
Lawmakers in Pennsylvania pass bell-to-bell cellphone ban for schoolsCBS News Lawmakers in Pennsylvania pass bell-to-bell cellphone ban for schools Allegheny County's newly passed mandate on paid parental leave draws strong reactions KDKA-TV Nightly Forecast (10/21) Elementary school teacher caught with… -
Bill To Legalize, Regulate & Restrict Who Can Ride E-Scooters Passes PA HouseHome » Bill To Legalize, Regulate & Restrict Who Can Ride E-Scooters Passes PA House It would also allow Pittsburgh, Scranton and more than 50 other cities to establish e-scooter sharing programs. Love them or hate them, electric scooters… -
Video of woman's arrest raises more questions about use of force by Donora policeCBS News Video of woman's arrest raises more questions about use of force by Donora police Greater Pittsburgh Community Food Bank lays out plan to attack food security 12th Congressional District features rematch between Summer Lee and… -
Church in Brentwood to have parking lot repaved through Election DayCBS News Church in Brentwood to have parking lot repaved through Election Day Greater Pittsburgh Community Food Bank lays out plan to attack food security Video of woman's arrest raises more questions about use of force by Donora police…
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AL-03 House winner?
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AL-04 House winner?
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions