AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
Install
OH-10 House winner?
The odds
71%Mike Turner
- Mike Turner71%
- Kristina Knickerbocker30%
How the odds have moved
Mike Turner: 84% on Oct 20, 71% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 20, 11 PM ETMike Turner: 84% → 78%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Turner | 71% | 70¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 107.3K | |
| Kristina Knickerbocker | 30% | 29¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 94.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Mike Turner, Kristina Knickerbocker
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DCCC launches ads against Mike Turner in red Ohio district - Live Updates - POLITICOThe Democratic group is spending in a Dayton-area district that Turner won by 18 points in 2024. House Democratsâ campaign arm is launching its first ad buy against 12-term GOP Rep Mike Turner in his western Ohio district as they seek to… -
Stand Up for Science Endorses Veteran and Nurse Kristina Knickerbocker in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District RaceSUFS endorsements promote candidates who will protect science and democracy, replace anti-science members of Congress in 2027 Stand Up for Science Endorses Veteran and Nurse Kristina Knickerbocker in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District Race… -
Mike Johnson asks Trump for more midterm money as Republicans seek to avert disaster in House racesIn the final sprint to the midterms, Speaker Mike Johnson went to President Donald Trump with a crucial ask, according to a person familiar with the exchange. Johnson’s message: Could Trump spare more cash to help House Republicans in this… -
NEW: Mike Turner Has Consistently Supported Forever WarsDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee AJN: âThe Ohio congressman has backed conflicts in Iraq, Syria, and Iran.â New reporting reveals that Mike Turner has consistently supported forever wars overseas during his lengthy tenure in… -
Transcript: Rep. Mike Turner on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 18, 2026October 18, 2026 / 11:53 AM EDT / CBS News The following is the transcript of the interview with Rep. Mike Turner, Republican of Ohio, that aired on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" on Oct. 18, 2026. MICHELLE TAFOYA: When Trump is… -
Military Starlink system remains restricted for Ukraine, officials sayUkrainian drones trying to intercept Russian attack drones still cannot use the military-grade Starlink system at high speed, according to Ukrainian officials and a drone operator. The unnamed official told Politico that tests showed speed… -
DCCC Jumps Into Three New House RacesThe Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is adding spending, as it drops $16 million in coordinated TV ads in the second to last week of the campaign. In Arizona’s 2nd, where the DCCC is now spending, Rep. Eli Crane faces Jonathan… -
Trump-aligned super PACs pour millions into once-safe GOP House seatsPresident Donald Trump has made good on his claim of putting more than $300 million of his political war chest into the 2026 midterm election. New campaign finance filings released Tuesday night show millions flowing into House districts… -
Republicans face growing midterm election concerns as new map shows several GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats in just one weekRepublicans are facing a fresh warning sign ahead of the midterms, as new election ratings show a number of GOP-held House seats shifting toward Democrats. The latest changes affect races across multiple states, including Iowa… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… -
Trump-aligned money machine tops $300 million, widening the 2026 battlefieldPresident Donald Trump says he has now funneled north of $300 million from his political kitty into the 2026 midterms. New reports filed with the FEC on Tuesday night back that up and show the pace quickening. His main super PAC, MAGA…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions