AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
NY-23 House winner?
The odds
97%Nick Langworthy
- Nick Langworthy97%▲ 1
- Aaron Gies2%
How the odds have moved
Nick Langworthy: 95% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Langworthy | 97% | ▲ 1 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 11.4K |
| Aaron Gies | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | 9.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Nick Langworthy, Aaron Gies
Search ›-
Aaron Gies: Government should work for people and their communities - Olean Times HeraldWELLSVILLE — Democratic congressional candidate Aaron Gies advocated expanding Social Security funding, establishing universal health care and conditioning U.S. aid to Israel during a town hall attended by about 300 people Tuesday night at… -
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Langworthy holds a 37-to-1 cash edge in NY-23 as Gies outraises him again in the final stretchBuffalo, New York · Western New York Buffalo · Western New York Rep. Nick Langworthy entered the last weeks of the NY-23 race with nearly $2 million in the bank to Aaron Gies’ $54,000. But FEC filings show the Democrat has outraised the… -
In Langworthy Country, the Money Flocks to GiesHome » In Langworthy Country, the Money Flocks to Gies From Aaron Gies for Congress, pictured is Gies with members of the Allegany County Democratic Committee Olean, NY — Aaron Gies, the Democratic candidate for New York’s 23rd… -
Langworthy & Blakeman announce “Fire Hochul” rallies across WNY/Southern Tier on October 28Home » Langworthy & Blakeman announce “Fire Hochul” rallies across WNY/Southern Tier on October 28 From Langworthy for Congress, Kathy Hochul has made New York more expensive, less safe and increasingly hostile to working families and… -
GOP holds rally for early voting in LancasterBuffalo News Javascript is required to use this website. Michael Kracker, Chairman of the Erie County Republican Committee, right, chats with Representative Nick Langworthy, left, at Lt. Col. Matt Urban VFW Post 7275 in Lancaster, Oct. 24… -
Rep. Langworthy makes case for third term, emphasizing tax cuts, affordability - Olean Times HeraldOLEAN — U.S. Rep. Nick Langworthy is running for a third term by emphasizing tax cuts, local control over development and constituent service while drawing contrasts with Democratic challenger Aaron Gies over health care, spending and… -
Who’s on the ballot in Erie County?Grace Cole, Managing Editor October 24, 2026 • No Comments What defines "fall vibes?" Early voting starts today in Erie County and lasts until election day on Nov. 3. Find out where the closest early voting location is to you at this link!… -
Langworthy: Transforming Rural Healthcare for Rural New YorkHome » Langworthy: Transforming Rural Healthcare for Rural New York A COLUMN By Congressman Nick Langworthy, NY-23 When Americans from around the country think about New York, they often picture the skyscrapers of Manhattan and the… - American Bus Association Lobbies On Motorcoach TariffsThe association's third-quarter 2026 in-house filing reports $260,000, up $180,000 from the $80,000 reported in the second quarter of 2026. Compared with the third quarter of 2025, when the same registrant reported $70,000, the in-house…
- Right Thinkers Republican panelists speak out against socialism at get-out-the-vote meetingALLEGANY — The conservative Right Thinkers group held a discussion on socialism with a panel of four elected officials at its meeting Monday that turned into a Republican get-out-the-vote rally. Moderator and founder Nate Smith read…
-
No Kings event in Olean rallies voters for midterm election - Olean Times HeraldOLEAN — As part of the No Kings Nationwide Day of Action on Saturday, more than 120 people turned out for Voices of the People Movement's event on East Street across from Bradner Stadium. Organizer Jessica Davis said area residents turned…
Related markets
All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%▼ 1
- Shomari Figures32%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
99%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt99%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
97%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer97%▼ 1
- Maurice Mercer3%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions