AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
NY-20 House winner?
The odds
98%Paul Tonko
- Paul Tonko98%
- Ralph Ambrosio2%
How the odds have moved
Paul Tonko: 98% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Tonko | 98% | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.4K | |
| Ralph Ambrosio | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | 598 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Paul Tonko, Ralph Ambrosio
Search ›-
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Early voting begins Saturday ahead of Nov. 3 general electionSARATOGA COUNTY, N.Y. –– Beginning Saturday, Oct. 24, those who wish to get out and cast their ballots ahead of Election Day can do so, with early voting locations set to open at a variety of sites throughout the county. Those wishing to… -
Early voting to begin Saturday ahead of Nov. 3 general electionCAPITAL REGION, N.Y. — Early voting is set to begin this Saturday ahead of the general election set for Nov. 3, as several state, congressional, and local seats are up for grabs. Early voters can cast their ballots until Nov. 1. The polls… -
Tonko, Ambrosio debate at CBS6 in race for NY-20President Trump delivers remarks at a midterm rally in Pendleton, South Carolina. NISKAYUNA, N.Y. (WRGB) — Incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Paul Tonko and Republican challenger Ralph Ambrosio squared off Wednesday night in a debate moderated… -
Tonko and Ambrosio spar in feisty NY-20 debateU.S. Rep. Paul Tonko [left] and GOP challenger Ralph Ambrosio take part in a CBS6 debate in Niskayuna on Oct. 21, 2026. NISKAYUNA — Republican Congressional candidate Ralph Ambrosio showed up looking for a fight in his debate with… -
Congress Widens Probe into Online Gambling VIP ProgramsCongress is doubling down on its inquiries into how online gambling sites cater to VIP gamblers. Online betting giants, including DraftKings, may have to disclose how they treat high rollers and whether they use AI to tailor perks. The… -
Churchill: Think you know Constantino vs. Gendebien? Take this election quiz!With Election Day looming, I'm here to test your knowledge of the ridiculous — otherwise known as politics. I'll start with questions about the race in the North Country, where a big upset could be in the works, before testing your… -
Editorial: It’s time to flip CongressPresident Donald J. Trump has been imploring Republican voters to “pretend I’m on the ballot” in the midterm elections. There’s no need, really, to pretend. This election, particularly for seats in the U.S. Senate and the House of… - Razom for Ukraine Lobbies on the PEACE Act of 2025Razom for Ukraine is lobbying on the PEACE Act of 2025 (H.R. 4346: Preventing the Escalation of Armed Conflict in Europe), which sits on the House Union Calendar and is eligible for floor consideration. The bill would require Treasury to…
- Tonko, Ambrosio make their cases in 20th Congressional District raceVoters in the Capital Region’s 20th Congressional District are choosing between a longtime Democratic incumbent and a Republican who has never held elected office. Democratic Rep. Paul Tonko is facing Republican challenger Ralph Ambrosio…
- Can a Political Attack Ad Go Too Far?A political attack ad has fractured Ohio Republicans: Gov. Mike DeWine condemned it and called for it to be removed, and Sen. Jon Husted said he would not have run it, while Vance defended the ad and told Republicans who objected to "stop…
-
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris…
Related markets
All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%▼ 1
- Shomari Figures32%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
99%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt99%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
97%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer97%▼ 1
- Maurice Mercer3%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions