NY-13 House winner?

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2 today · $2K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

97%Darializa Avila Chevalier
  • Darializa Avila Chevalier97%
  • Manual "Jomo" Williams1%

How the odds have moved

Darializa Avila Chevalier: 97% on Oct 20, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Darializa Avila Chevalier 97% 96¢ 98¢ $1.02 2.1K
Manual "Jomo" Williams 1% 1¢ 2¢ $66.67 1.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NY- House, Darializa Avila Chevalier

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  • NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner · 5 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
  • Mamdani-backed congressional candidate says he was detained by Israeli militaryFox News · 5 days ago'The Five' comments on the Democratic Party's messaging and internal division as New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani faces criticism over his policy agenda. The panel also discusses the arrests of Democratic Socialists of America members…
  • EXCLUSIVE–Stephen Wagley Says Today’s Democrats Are Openly Socialist and CommunistBreitbart · 34 h agoStephen Wagley, a Republican candidate for Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District, said Saturday that Democrats are now openly willing to call themselves socialists or communists. Speaking with host Matthew Boyle on Breitbart News…
  • Mamdani campaigns with Hochul in Brooklyn ahead of early voting’s startNew York Daily News · 2 days agoMayor Mamdani and Gov. Hochul hit McCarren Park in Williamsburg, a lefty stronghold for the mayor, to urge New Yorkers to vote on Friday, hours before the start of early voting. Enthusiasm — mostly for the mayor — rippled through the park…
  • The divide among Mamdani allies over reforming the NYPDGothamist · 4 days agoPublished Oct 22, 2026 at 11:01 a.m. ET This column originally appeared in The Politics Brief, our weekly newsletter on the people, power and policies that shape New Yorkers' lives. ICE’s shooting of a Dominican man in Marble Hill earlier…
  • The Machine Behind the Democratic Party’s Radical TransformationDr. Rich Swier · 5 days agoFollow the Money: The Donors, Politicians and PACs Seeking to Bring Down the “American Empire”. WATCH to find out what’s inside our latest report A network of far-left political action committees (PACs) is working with Islamic groups to…
  • The Socialists Want to Hold Congress Hostageamac.us · 5 days agoNot sure what fits? A licensed AMAC advisor will walk you through it, at no cost. If Democrats win the House by a few seats, DSA-backed members want to withhold their votes from Jeffries unless he agrees to defund ICE and end aid to…
  • Don’t get fooled againTullahoma News · 5 days agoDon’t be fooled by Democrats’ talk on affordability. THEY caused this crisis under Biden when going to war on fossil fuels. They opened the borders and 10 – 15 million illegal immigrants poured in, including over 300,00 unaccompanied…
  • Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News · 9 days agoFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris…
  • ‘The world refuses Washington and Netanyahu’s distorted view’Brecorder · 5 days agoThis is apropos a letter to the Editor titled “The world refuses Washington and Netanyahu’s distorted view” carried... This is apropos a letter to the Editor titled “The world refuses Washington and Netanyahu’s distorted view” carried by…
  • Democrats are facing a Jewish exodusUnHerd · 6 days agoIt’s perhaps one of the most consistently Democratic voting blocs in American politics: Jewish voters. In 1932, Franklin Roosevelt picked up 82% of the Jewish vote. By 1940, it had risen to 90%. That number dipped to 45% for Jimmy Carter…
  • State Judicial Contests Are Heating UpCity Journal · 6 days agoToday, we’re looking at state judicial contests, the ramifications of California’s Proposition 47, why the DSA wants Jessica Tisch ousted, and the Smithsonian’s dwindling attendance. Write to us at [email protected] with questions…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions