AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
NY-11 House winner?
The odds
92%Nicole Malliotakis
- Nicole Malliotakis92%
- Michael DeCillis8%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Nicole Malliotakis: 94% on Oct 20, 92% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Malliotakis | 92% | 91¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 13.9K | |
| Michael DeCillis | 8% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | 24.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Nicole Malliotakis, Michael DeCillis
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NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Cuban-American Congresswoman Nicole Malliotakis denounces the abuses of the Cuban regime before the UNTuesday, October 20, 2026 - 10:55 The Republican congresswoman Nicole Malliotakis denounced on Monday at the United Nations headquarters in New York the human rights violations committed by the Cuban regime and urged member countries to… -
Gottheimer announces bipartisan election security measures ahead of early voting in New JerseyFORT LEE, N.J. (Bergen County) — U.S. Rep. Josh Gottheimer announced new bipartisan legislation Friday aimed at strengthening protections for election workers, ballot drop boxes and the peaceful transfer of power as New Jersey prepares to… -
Gottheimer reintroduces bipartisan bill to combat organized auto theft ringsWASHINGTON, D.C. — U.S. Rep. Josh Gottheimer, D-N.J., reintroduced bipartisan legislation Thursday, Oct. 22, aimed at combating organized auto theft rings by improving information sharing and coordination among federal, state and local law… -
The Diverse Communities of Staten Island (Out of the Jaws #14, with Mike DeCillis)How can we tame the corporate monsters of Silicon Valley? The Ohio Republican may have set a record for the most exploitative political ad. Yes, ever. An interview with the candidate for New York Congressional District 11, which includes… -
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
"And that's enough": Ambassador to the UN Mike Waltz denounces the privileges of the Cuban elite at the UNTuesday, October 20, 2026 - 1:20 PM The United States Ambassador to the UN, Mike Waltz, denounced the privileges of the elite of the Cuban regime this Monday during the event "Cuba Libre: The oppression that Havana hides", organized by the… -
Malliotakis, Morano Announce Agreement Between NYC and National Park Service to Fund Great Kills Park RemediationHouse.gov Malliotakis, Morano Announce Agreement Between NYC and National Park Service to Fund Great Kills Park Remediation (STATEN ISLAND, NY) — Congresswoman Nicole Malliotakis (NY-11) and New York City Council Member Frank Morano today… -
United States Stands Firm with Cuban People in Pursuit of FreedomTuesday, October 20, 2026 by Amelia Soto On Tuesday, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, Mike Waltz, expressed unwavering support from Washington for the Cuban populace while calling out the regime’s manipulative strategies at the UN… -
Showdown as US and Cuba Clash in UN HeadquartersAs Mike Waltz, US envoy to the United Nations, walked out with his entourage after a meeting he held in a windowless room in the first-basement level of the headquarters, he was greeted by rowdy chants led by the Cuban permanent… -
Janos Marton is taking Dream.org into its AI advocacy eraDream.org CEO Janos Marton is now working to hold the AI industry accountable. Adrienne Ordilla Civil rights lawyer Janos Marton was promoted to CEO of Dream.org late last month, after serving as the organization’s chief advocacy officer… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions