AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
NY-02 House winner?
The odds
81%Andrew Garbarino
- Andrew Garbarino81%
- Patrick Halpin19%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Andrew Garbarino: 86% on Oct 20, 81% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Garbarino | 81% | 81¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 11.6K | |
| Patrick Halpin | 19% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 25.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Andrew Garbarino, Patrick Halpin
Search ›-
NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - U.S. Congressman Garbarino Visits New Jersey Wesco PlantUnited States Congressman Andrew Garbarino visited a Wesco branch in Hauppauge, New York last week. Garbarino represents New York’s second district, after being elected to the House of Representatives in 2020. The Congressman serves as the…
- Suffolk Democrats' leadership battle intensifies, spills into town races weeks before Election DayThe polarizing fight over Suffolk County Democratic Party leadership has extended to town committees just weeks before Election Day, with supporters of longtime Chairman Rich Schaffer winning in Brookhaven but backers of his rival winning…
-
Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… - Bipartisan backlash from Long Island lawmakers over Trump lifting Russia sanctionsPresident Donald Trump greets Russian President Vladimir Putin in Anchorage, Alaska, on Aug. 15, 2025. Trump argued lifting the sanctions ensures Russian President Vladimir Putin will remain at “the bargaining table” with Ukraine. Credit…
-
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October… - Press Release: Andrew Garbarino and Colleagues Introduce Bill to Expand Fentanyl Testing Kit FundingBipartisan lawmakers introduced a bill expanding federal grant use for fentanyl test kits and opioid reversal agents for police. Lawmakers propose fentanyl-related grant changes: Reps. Andrew Garbarino, Tom Kean Jr., Jeff Van Drew and Mike…
- Suspicious substance found in envelope at Rep. Tom Suozzi's office in QueensAuthorities responded to the Queens office of Rep. Tom Suozzi on Friday after the Glen Cove Democrat became one of the latest members of Congress to receive an envelope with a suspicious substance. Credit: Newsday/Joseph Ostapiuk Suozzi…
- Garbarino cosponsors GOP bill to bolster law enforcement’s fight against fentanylU.S. Rep. Andrew Garbarino (R-NY) recently joined several Republican lawmakers to propose legislation that would allow law enforcement agencies to use an existing federal grant to buy fentanyl testing kits and opioid reversal agents…
-
New: How the 'Mamdanification' of the Dem Party Could Be Their Undoing in a Crucial NY House RaceWhen Zohran Mamdani became the Democrat mayoral nominee in New York City in the summer of 2025, many political observers wondered whether the second-place finisher, disgraced former NY Gov. Andrew Cuomo, would somehow emerge victorious in… -
Major ICE contractors shower Republican candidates with campaign cashCorporations given lucrative government contracts to carry out President Trump’s immigration agenda have contributed millions of dollars in campaign donations to Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm election. A Scripps News review of… - White powder sent to Chuck Schumer, Kirsten Gillibrand offices; law enforcement source says 'not hazardous'Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) walks through the U.S. Capitol Building on September 17. Credit: Getty Images/Andrew Harnik WASHINGTON — The offices of New York's two U.S. senators, Chuck Schumer and Kirsten Gillibrand, both…
Related markets
All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%
- Shomari Figures31%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
98%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt98%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer98%
- Maurice Mercer2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions