NV-02 House winner?

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.6K today · $72K traded · $56.7K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

62%David Flippo
  • David Flippo62%
  • Teresa Benitez-Thompson39%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

David Flippo: 73% on Oct 20, 62% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETDavid Flippo: 72% → 64%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
David Flippo 62% 61¢ 62¢ $1.61 73.6K
Teresa Benitez-Thompson 39% ▲ 1 38¢ 39¢ $2.56 69.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NV- House, David Flippo, Teresa Benitez-Thompson

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  • Teresa Benitez-Thompson: Your hometown candidateElko Daily Free Press · 30 h agoSecond Congressional District candidate Teresa Benitez-Thompson says that if elected she will work “to help make all our lives more affordable for hardworking Nevadans.” Javascript is required to use this website. A Lee Enterprises…
  • David Flippo: You deserve to hear it from meElko Daily Free Press · 30 h agoSecond Congressional District candidate David Flippo says you deserve to hear his story directly from him. Javascript is required to use this website. A Lee Enterprises, Incorporated newspaper. Majority shareholder: David Hoffmann…
  • Ethics complaint against David Flippo2 News Nevada · 4 days agoKTVN He still has not submitted his financial disclosure to the U.S. House clerk. Benitez-Thompson calls out Flippo for late finance filings Federal Elections complaints have been filed against Republican David Flippo for failing to submit…
  • Experts weigh in on David Flippo's Bronze Star valor controversyElko Daily Free Press · 4 days agoJavascript is required to use this website. What's happening across Elko and beyond. Editorials, letters and local perspectives on the issues shaping Elko and beyond. Local sports news, scores and highlights from Elko and beyond. Explore…
  • David Flippo’s campaign finances are filled with red flagsKUNR Public Radio · 3 days agoBelow is a transcript of the conversation between KUNR political reporter Lucia Starbuck and Mother Jones reporter Noah Lanard, which is slightly edited for clarity. Lucia Starbuck: Based on your reporting, Flippo is too broke to…
  • Experts Say Land Venture Linked to David Flippo is “Batshit” and a “Huge Red Flag”Mother Jones · 3 days agoNoah Lanard5 minutes ago In December 2022, a 20-year-old California woman loaned most of her savings to a venture calling itself Lost Basin Holdings. In theory, the $25,000 loan from the young conservative, who asked to remain anonymous…
  • Amodei Calls Flippo a ‘Fraud’ on CNN as Nevada’s GOP Stronghold Turns Competitive Amid Early Voting Edge for Democratscaliforniaglobe.com · 3 days agoNevada’s 2nd Congressional District has never elected a Democrat since its creation, but candidate controversies and early voting numbers have made the race unusually competitive By Megan Barth, October 23, 2026 11:45 am Retiring…
  • Trump calls Benitez-Thompson crazy during tele-rally@KOLO8 · 4 days agoRENO, Nev. (KOLO) - President Trump called NV-02 candidate Teresa Benitez-Thompson crazy during a tele-rally. In remarks made during the rally, Trump said: KOLO 8 News Now reached out to the campaign for Teresa Benitez-Thompson, who…
  • Benitez-Thompson calls out Flippo for late finance filings2 News Nevada · 4 days agoShe pledges to bring changes to congress to fight corruption. Another federal election complaint has been filed against Republican Congressional District 2 candidate David Flippo. As of Wednesday, he still has not submitted his financial…
  • Gibbons is wrong on Flippo, and Flippo is wrong for Nevada | OpinionTacoma News Tribune · 3 days agoRe: "The oath does not expire," Oct. 22: Jim Gibbons is right about one thing: The oath does not expire. The rest of his admonition of Rep. Amodei is simply incorrect. I have lived in Nevada Congressional District 2 for over 50 years, and…
  • Nevada House candidate’s campaign credited donation to woman who died in 2024, report saysLas Vegas Sun · 5 days agoWednesday, Oct. 21, 2026 | 2 a.m. Republican congressional candidate David Flippo’s campaign attributed part of a contribution to a woman who died in 2024, according to a Wall Street Journal report based on federal campaign finance…
  • This Democrat Thinks You're a Cockroach If You Support Gun Rightstownhall.com · 5 days agoTheresa Benitez-Thompson is a Democrat who wants to represent Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District and has positioned herself as someone who stands up for her constituents. The problem is that she doesn’t want her constituents to be able to…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions