AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
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NM-03 House winner?
The odds
95%Teresa Leger Fernández
- Teresa Leger Fernández95%▼ 1
- Martin Zamora5%
How the odds have moved
Teresa Leger Fernández: 95% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teresa Leger Fernández | 95% | ▼ 1 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.05 | 1.6K |
| Martin Zamora | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | 7.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NM- House, Teresa Leger Fernández, Martin Zamora
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Democratic Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez 1-on-1 on potential House majority, ICE arrests and moreKOB 4 Democratic Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez 1-on-1 on potential House majority, ICE arrests and more Candidate 1-on-1: Democratic U.S. Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — Incumbent U.S. Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez joined KOB… -
Sexual harassment rules for Congress are under review after a flurry of ethics casesWASHINGTON — When Rep. Kat Cammack began work on a task force this spring to combat sexual misconduct on Capitol Hill, the Florida Republican soon heard from former staffers who wanted to share their stories. They “came out of the… -
U.S. citizens wrongfully detained by immigration officers could get $500,000 plus $100,000 for each extra day held, under a bill from New Mexico Democratic Rep. Teresa Leger FernándezU.S. citizens wrongfully arrested or detained by immigration officers could receive at least $500,000 in damages, with an additional $100,000 for every day they remain in custody beyond the first, under legislation introduced by Democratic… -
JD Vance Appears to Take Nasty Swipe at Protester Demanding Release of Epstein Files With 'Racist' RemarkVice President JD Vance was accused of racism. Oct. 20 2026, Published 2:49 p.m. ET Vice President JD Vance appeared to make a jab at a protester who demanded the government take further action on the Epstein files, RadarOnline.com has… -
String of Sexual Misconduct Scandals in the House Hasn’t Fast-tracked Ethics ReformSpeaker Mike Johnson canceled the pre-midterm House session, punting any action on changes to sexual misconduct rules. Speaker Mike Johnson has remained noncommittal on bringing a bipartisan ethics reform package to lawmakers before the… -
Citing ProPublica, Lawmakers Introduce Bill to Help U.S. Citizens Sue ICE for Wrongful DetentionsI cover immigration at ProPublica, with a particular focus on how immigration enforcement changes communities around the country. Send me tips about immigration enforcement tactics, racial profiling, the detention of citizens or how… -
US Citizens Wrongfully Detained by ICE Could Get $500K Under New BillOct 18, 2026 at 07:30 AM EDT Oct 18, 2026 at 10:28 AM EDT U.S. citizens wrongfully arrested or detained by immigration authorities could receive at least $500,000 in damages under a new bill introduced in Congress. Democratic… - Representative Teresa Leger Fernandez introduces H.R. 10826: Justice for Citizens Wrongfully Detained by ICE ActWe have received text from H.R. 10826: Justice for Citizens Wrongfully Detained by ICE Act. This bill was received on 2026-10-15, and currently has 1 cosponsor. This bill would create a way for U.S. citizens to sue immigration officers, or…
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Vote to restore a Democratic majority to CongressIncumbent U.S. Sen. Ben Ray Luján deserves reelection to the Senate. That would be true even if the president weren’t threatening allies and cozying up to dictators, attempting to pillage our public lands and disrespecting our state’s… -
17 Attorneys General Push New Law to Sue DOJ Over Withheld Epstein FilesNational Legal News, Information & Blogs A coalition of 17 state attorneys general is urging Congress to pass a new Epstein files law that would let states, survivors and lawmakers sue the Justice Department over records they say were… -
NM House District 40The Taos News Joseph L. Sanchez (I) There was a problem reporting this. All comment authors MUST use their real names. Posts that cannot be ascribed to a real person Click below to support our sponsors Sorry, an error occurred. Account… -
Doreen GallegosEconomic development and affordability: New Mexico has enjoyed strong state revenues and significant economic-development investment, yet many residents continue to struggle with housing, food, utilities and other costs. What should the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions