AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
MS-03 House winner?
The odds
98%Michael Guest
- Michael Guest98%
- Michael Chiaradio2%
How the odds have moved
Michael Guest: 98% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Guest | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.1K | |
| Michael Chiaradio | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $37.04 | 3.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MS- House, Michael Guest, Michael Chiaradio
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Veterans Affairs cuts backlog, sets record for number of claims processedCongressman Michael Guest said lawmakers have prioritized robust funding to cut the disability claims backlog and modernize VA systems. This fiscal year, the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs has broken the previous year’s record of… -
Trump coming to Mississippi ahead of Election Day to rally support for Hyde-Smith, GOP fieldThe President’s return to the Magnolia State to promote the Republican field comes after the Democrat nominee for U.S. Senate has hosted a bevy of national progressive leaders in Mississippi ahead of the November 3 General Election… -
Mississippi incumbents hold sizeable cash advantage as General Election nearsRepublican U.S. Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith’s re-election campaign has outraised all other federal candidates in Mississippi this election cycle, bringing in over $6 million. Her Democrat challenger Scott Colom is closing in on $4 million… -
EXCLUSIVE: RSC Members Tout Trump’s SNAP Fraud Crackdown Ahead of MidtermsRepublican Study Committee members praised Trump's crackdown on nearly $42 million in SNAP fraud and emphasized the need to continue the initiative. The post EXCLUSIVE: RSC Members Tout Trump’s SNAP Fraud Crackdown Ahead of Midterms… -
Trump coming to Mississippi to stump for Republicans as part of campaign blitz ahead of midtermsPresident Donald Trump is coming to Mississippi to stump for Republican candidates ahead of next month’s midterms. The president will make a stop in Corinth on Monday, Oct. 26, just over a week ahead of the Nov. 3 elections. Mississippi’s… -
President Trump to campaign in MississippiCORINTH, Miss. (WTVA) — President Donald Trump is returning to Mississippi. The Republican National Committee confirmed the news with WTVA on Wednesday afternoon. The midterm rally is set for Monday at the Crossroads Arena in Corinth… -
New law clears way for Vicksburg National Military Park visitor centerWASHINGTON — A new federal law allows Mississippi to build a visitor center and make improvements at Vicksburg National Military Park, the state’s congressional delegation announced Oct. 20. The Vicksburg National Military Park Boundary… -
Poll worker training is Saturday, Oct. 24Published 12:12 pm Monday, October 19, 2026 Tuesday, November 2, is General Election Day in Mississippi, and poll workers are needed in Lincoln County. Training for poll workers will be Saturday, Oct. 24, at 9:30 a.m. at the Lincoln County… -
Absentee voting still open for November electionPublished 11:10 am Monday, October 19, 2026 The General Election is fast approaching — polls will be open from 7 a.m. until 7 p.m. Tuesday, Nov. 2. Until then, qualified residents registered to vote can cast an absentee ballot in the… -
RMA Talk for Oct 21: Karen Elliott House: “The Man Who Would Be King: Mohammed Bin Salman and the Transformation of Saudi Arabia”The Greenwich RMA talk on Wednesday Oct 21 will be Karen Elliott House, the author of a new book, The Man Who Would be King, on Saudi Arabia and its ambitious Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. The talk starts at 11:00 am at Christ Church… -
House Ethics Boosts Staff on Heels of Scandal-Heavy CongressBloomberg Government News The House Ethics Committee is hiring additional staff after its bipartisan leaders secured a budget increase after handling a number of high-profile investigations, including several into lawmakers who ultimately… -
Obama cuts campaign ad for ColomFrom former President Barack Obama ad for Scott Colom It was once a rare scene for a Democrat candidate in Mississippi to go all in with national party leaders in a statewide election. Yet, that is exactly what Mike Espy did in his failed…
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AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
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AL-04 House winner?
98%Robert Aderholt
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AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
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AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.