MN-08 House winner?

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2 today · $11.9K traded · $7.8K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

84%Pete Stauber
  • Pete Stauber84%
  • Trina Swanson17%

How the odds have moved

Pete Stauber: 88% on Oct 20, 84% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Pete Stauber 84% 83¢ 84¢ $1.19 10.5K
Trina Swanson 17% 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 19.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MN- House, Pete Stauber, Trina Swanson

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  • Minnesota Defends the Boundary WatersProgressive.org · 5 days agoOffice of Governor Tim Walz Governor Tim Walz’s order is a welcome development, but does not offer long-term protection. On August 18, in response to federal maneuvers that threatened one of North America’s most cherished landscapes…
  • Paid letter to the editor: Open letter to Representative Stauberpinecitymn.com · 5 days agoRepresentative Stauber, your October 6 debate with Trina Swanson, demands a response. I was surprised to hear that all our problems are Biden’s and Obama’s fault. How foolish of us to think that two years of Republican control of the…
  • Minnesota Man Runs Marathon While Carrying A Canoe For The Boundary WatersPaddling Magazine · 6 days agoTravis Meier hopes to run 52 marathons in 52 weeks to raise awareness for the BWCA What would you portage a marathon for? A Minnesota man recently ran the entire Twin Cities Marathon while carrying a canoe to raise awareness for the…
  • Ilhan Omar's Cover Story May Be Blown: Investigators Find Something Is Strangely 'Missing'redstate.com · 6 days agoWhen it comes to American politics, the most important things are often what is missing. And in the case of Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN), House Oversight Chairman James Comer is pointing to an extraordinary mystery involving a winery, millions…
  • Letter to the editor: Support for SwansonMessAge Media · 10 days agoMessageMedia.co Support for SwansonLast spring, I was contacted to attend a coffee at Cedarwood to meet Trina Swanson I had no idea who she was.About 15 of us talked to her over coffee I was amazed at her calm, polite manner and her…
  • Meet Pete Stauber, candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota's 8th District | WCCO Election GuideCBS News · 12 days agoCBS News October 13, 2026 / 3:31 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota Rep. Pete Stauber, the Republican incumbent in Minnesota's 8th Congressional District, has represented Duluth and the Iron Range since 2019. We have yet to receive a 60-second video…
  • Meet Trina Swanson, candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota's 8th District | WCCO Election GuideCBS News · 12 days agoOctober 13, 2026 / 3:30 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota Trina Swanson, the DFL nominee in Minnesota's 8th Congressional District, is a former U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services official. The district covers Duluth and the Iron Range. Watch…
  • Meet Trina Swanson, candidate for U.S. House District 8 | WCCO 2026 Midterm Election GuideCBS News · 13 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Meet Trina…
  • Endorsement: For the 8th, the congressman we expectedDuluth News Tribune · 9 days agoThat was the congressman voters from the Canadian border to the northern suburbs of the Twin Cities elected — and a congressman who deserves endorsement. Eight years later, though, it’s hardly the congressman any of us got. The elected…
  • MN Congressmen Tour SE MNMy KLGR · 10 days ago(Rochester, MN) – Congressmen Brad Finstad and Pete Stauber are touring southeast Minnesota to discuss and tour... (Rochester, MN) – Congressmen Brad Finstad and Pete Stauber are touring southeast Minnesota to discuss and tour local…
  • LETTERS FROM READERS - 10-14-26MessAge Media · 11 days agoLast spring, I was contacted to attend a coffee to meet Trina Swanson. I had no idea who she was. She is running against Pete Stauber who has tried to sell the Boundary Waters to Chile contractors and China. Who advocates for ICE. Who does…
  • Minnesota House 30B: Chad Westberghometownsource.com · 9 days agoTown of residence: Elk River Occupation: Small Business Owner Family: Wife: Sarah. Children: Owen, Siri, Leif Campaign social media: Facebook: Chad Westberg for MN House 1. What experience, skills or perspective do you believe best…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions