MI-01 House winner?

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $3 today · $13.2K traded · $4.1K at stake · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

90%Jack Bergman
  • Jack Bergman90%
  • Callie Barr11%

How the odds have moved

Jack Bergman: 89% on Oct 20, 90% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Jack Bergman 90% 89¢ 90¢ $1.11 13.3K
Callie Barr 11% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 12.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MI- House, Jack Bergman, Callie Barr

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  • Danny DeVito, Barbra Streisand Among Hollywood Celebrities Pouring Cash into Radical Democrat Candidates in MichiganBreitbart · 2 days agoA list of Hollywood celebrities and other well-known figures are pouring money into the coffers of radical Democrat socialists running for office in Michigan, including Barbra Streisand, Danny DeVito, rapper Macklemore, and Susan Sarandon…
  • Meet the candidates for Michigan’s 1st Congressional District9and10News.com · 5 days agoTRAVERSE CITY — We’re two weeks away from Election Day, and voters in Northern Michigan’s 1st Congressional District will see a rematch of the 2024 contest. Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman is again facing a challenge from Democrat Callie…
  • GOP Lawmaker Lives in Home Financed by DonorPolitical Wire · 3 days agoJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “Rep. Jack Bergman (R-MI) rented a stately home in Washington, D.C., owned for years by one of his top campaign donors who sold the house to the Michigan congressman’s daughter in a favorable…
  • Your Weekly Michigan Political BriefMichigan Advance · 9 days agoCampaign 2026 announcements and endorsements for the week of Oct. 12, 2026 Illustration by States Newsroom Callie Barr, Democratic nominee for Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, outraised incumbent U.S. Rep. Jack Bergman (R-Watermeet)…
  • First Congresssional District Q & A with Callie BarrUp North Voice · 11 days agoEditor’s note: We asked the questions below with the following caveats, which were followed by both Callie Barr and Jack Bergman: Do not mention your opponent or opposing political party. Answers will not be edited. Answers are word…
  • First Congresssional District Q & A with Jack BergmanUp North Voice · 11 days agoEditor’s note: We asked the questions below with the following caveats, which were followed by both Jack Bergman and Callie Barr, candidates for Michigan’s First Congressional District: Do not mention your opponent or opposing political…
  • Barr makes second attempt to win Northern Michigan's seat in CongressWCMU Public Media · 10 days agoEditor's note: This story was produced for the ear and designed to be heard. If you're able, WCMU encourages you to listen to the audio version of this story by clicking the LISTEN button above. This transcript was edited for clarity and…
  • New Dems look to boost ranks and build cloutRoll Call · 10 days agoThe New Democrat Coalition is already the largest ideological bloc within the House Democratic Caucus with more than 100 members. And Rep. Greg Stanton, who chairs the group’s campaign arm, doesn’t see that changing next year. “We expect…
  • Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Portsselectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov · 9 days agocustom page title LETTERS Letter to Coast Guard on Screening, Vetting of CCP-Backed Shipping Corporation’s Operations at US Ports Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman John Moolenaar (R-MI), House Committee on…
  • House Republicans scramble as red seats turn noisyenmnews.com · 11 days agoSome of the safest Republican districts in the country are suddenly looking a lot less sleepy. Those districts, like many others now getting a closer look, have not elected a Democrat in years or even decades. In normal cycles, they are…
  • 'Who's laughing now?' Analyst sees GOP 'bottom' falling out as MAGA seats up for grabsRaw Story · 11 days agoRepublicans accustomed to safe seats are suddenly campaigning hard, and Democrats are chasing House districts that weren’t on their radar when the cycle began, Axios reported on Wednesday. Members like Reps. John McGuire (R-VA) and Lauren…
  • Democrat Callie Barr tries again to unseat Bergman in 1st Congressional District raceCivic Media · 12 days agoOct 13, 2026, 12:00 PM CT Democrat Callie Barr is trying a second time to unseat incumbent US Rep. Jack Bergman, R-Watersmeet in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District. In 2024, Barr earned 38% of the vote to Bergman’s 59% in a four-way…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions