AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
Install
MD-08 House winner?
The odds
98%Jamie Raskin
- Jamie Raskin98%
- Cheryl Riley2%
How the odds have moved
Jamie Raskin: 96% on Oct 19, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Raskin | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | 126 | ||
| Cheryl Riley | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | 328 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MD- House, Jamie Raskin, Cheryl Riley
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Jamie Raskin Criticizes Elon Musk as a Mere 'Immigrant' with No Interest in the 'Values of Our Country'Democratic Rep. Jamie Raskin of Maryland is casting Elon Musk in the role of a diabolical racist-in-chief who has rejected American values that belong in the custody of liberal Democrats. Musk, who owns Tesla, SpaceX, and X, was born in… -
Rep. Jamie Raskin Says Immigrant Elon Musk ‘Never Really Inhaled’ the Real Values of Our CountryIf you've been following Twitchy (and you should), you'll know that there's been an outbreak of Elon Derangement Syndrome this week. As we reported earlier this week, there's a movement building for the next Democratic administration to… -
US Representatives Jamie Raskin and John Mannion rally voters at the Wildcat in Cazenovia for 2026 midtermsUS Representatives Jamie Raskin and John Mannion spoke at the Wildcat Athletic Center in Cazenovia during an Oct. 17 'Get Out the Vote' fundraiser and panel discussion hosted by the Madison County Democratic Committee. US Representatives… -
ELECTION 2026: Heidi Schmidt — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
MD House candidate still fighting redistricting referendum with appealMaryland’s Most Admired CEOs A candidate for the Maryland House of Delegates filed a last-ditch appeal to the state Supreme Court against the upcoming congressional redistricting referendum, though the attorney general’s office pushed back… -
DOJ is pressed on its refusal to help state, foreign Epstein investigationsBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. A House Democrat is… -
ELECTION 2026: Joan Barone Cole — MD House of Delegates District 31As part of Eye On Annapolis’ 2026 election coverage, we invited all candidates running in Anne Arundel County races to speak directly to voters in their own words. Candidates were given broad latitude, with a suggested 1,500-word limit… -
Democrats Thrilled at the Thought of Imprisoning MuskOne announced that “There has been a series of meetings among House Democrats. Do you know what they’re doing? Yes. They’re carving up jurisdictions for who is going to subpoena him to testify before which of them and for what.” Nothing… -
Raskin: Musk ‘an Immigrant’ ‘Who Never Really Inhaled the Real Values’ of U.S., Trump Admin. ‘Reviles Immigrants’On Thursday’s broadcast of MS NOW’s “The Last Word,” Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) stated that the Trump administration “reviles immigrants” and Elon Musk is “an immigrant who came in, who never really inhaled the real values of our country. …… -
Indian-American Pia Dandiya gets Buttigieg boost in Florida toss-up raceWashington: Former US Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg will campaign on Monday with Indian-American Democrat Pia Dandiya in Florida’s 22nd congressional district, one of the state’s most closely watched House races, Florida Politics… -
Jayapal, Sanders Question Zuckerberg Over Alleged Meta Interference in Brazilian ElectionSupporters of Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva hold masks depicting Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg with red horns during a demonstration in front of Meta's headquarters in São Paulo, Brazil, on October 19, 2026. "It is unacceptable… -
Dems Prep Aggressive Congress Agenda, Even as GOP Rejects 'Blue Wave'From healthcare and tariffs to investigations of President Trump, Democrats are preparing an aggressive agenda if they retake Congress. Democrat leaders are reportedly mapping out their first 100 hours and 100 days in power, even as…
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All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%
- Shomari Figures31%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
99%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt99%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
97%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer97%▼ 1
- Maurice Mercer3%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions