AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
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IL-09 House winner?
The odds
98%Daniel Biss
- Daniel Biss98%
- John Elleson2%
How the odds have moved
Daniel Biss: 98% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Biss | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.0K | |
| John Elleson | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $26.32 | 980 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IL- House, Daniel Biss, John Elleson
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Race To Replace: Mayor Daniel Biss resigns as Illinois’ 9th Congressional District election nearsEvanston Mayor Daniel Biss has resigned. In this week’s episode of Race to Replace, we reflect on Biss’s tenure and what’s next for Evanston. NOAH MAYER: After more than five years in office, Mayor Daniel Biss has resigned. NOAH MAYER… -
'In my heart, I'm a legislator': An exit interview with Daniel BissDaniel Biss began his political career as a legislator, representing Evanston and other surrounding communities in Springfield first as a state representative and then as a state senator. He’s very likely to continue his career as a… -
Biss: ‘Bold and ambitious’ agenda needed in CongressTwo weeks from election day, Daniel Biss, now the former mayor of Evanston, cast his vote in Evanston Monday, and headed to Michigan to lend his hand in campaigning for Democrats in tight races. He was going to speak with a group of Jewish… -
DOJ allowed to join lawsuit against Evanston reparations program for Black residentsPro-reparations yard signs sit outside homes in Evanston, just over a week after the Evanston City Council approved a first-in-the-nation reparations plan to make amends for historical wrongs against Black residents, Tuesday afternoon… -
‘It Blossoms in the Dark’: Mehdi Hasan Presides Over Anti-AIPAC Event Where Conspiracy Theorists Spun Tales of a Jewish Cabal Plotting World DominationCHICAGO—Mehdi Hasan, the fired MSNBC host who now runs the virulently anti-Israel news startup Zeteo, presided Tuesday over a gathering focused on the malign influence of AIPAC—the pro-Israel American lobbying organization—which is being… -
Grover files petition paperwork in mayor raceFormer Ald. Jane Grover filed petition paperwork Wednesday to get on the ballot for mayor next year, becoming the third candidate, after Jeff Boarini and Stephanie Mendoza to file for the race. Grover, who represented the 7th Ward on the… -
Boarini, Mendoza file for top ballot spot in mayor's raceCandidate filing opened at 8:30 a.m. Monday for the 2027 special mayoral election, with candidates Jeff Boarini and City Clerk Stephanie Mendoza showing up in advance to ensure they have a shot at the top spot on the ballot. With Daniel… -
Mendoza, Boarini file petitions for mayorJust after midnight Monday, Daniel Biss time as Evanston’s mayor officially ended. But early this morning at City Hall, the race to replace him officially began. Two mayoral hopefuls filed packets of petition signatures Monday just after… -
Biss bids farewell, capping off 5 years that reshaped EvanstonDaniel Biss resigned as mayor on Sunday, ahead of the upcoming midterm elections in which he is heavily favored to win a seat representing Illinois’ 9th Congressional District. Biss’ resignation ends his five-year tenure as mayor and… -
At latest No Kings rallies, smaller crowds and a ‘vote early’ rallying cryAt intersections in Chicago, Skokie and elsewhere, the protesters held up signs exhorting passersby to vote early, and drivers honked in response. It was a muted Saturday for the No Kings movement, which previously drew larger crowds to… -
Mayoral hopefuls report early donationsThree leaders have emerged in the fundraising race among the six announced candidates in the 2027 Evanston special mayoral election. Of the six candidates who have indicated they will file paperwork, five submitted finance reports this…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions