AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
ID-02 House winner?
The odds
96%Mike Simpson
- Mike Simpson96%▼ 1
- Elinor Gilbreath3%
How the odds have moved
Mike Simpson: 95% on Oct 20, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Simpson | 96% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 2.8K |
| Elinor Gilbreath | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | 4.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ID- House, Mike Simpson, Elinor Gilbreath
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Idaho Congressional candidates talk public lands, rising healthcare costsIncumbent Republican Rep. Mike Simpson (right) is seeking his 15th term after first being elected to the U.S. House in 1998. His challengers include Democrat Ellie Gilbreath (left) and Independent Tripp Hutchinson (center. As U.S. Rep… -
Republicans seek to rename opera house after Melania TrumpRepublicans in the US House of Representatives sought Tuesday to rename the opera house in Washington's John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts after First Lady Melania Trump. The Republican-led House Appropriations Committee voted… -
Cowardly candidates make weak leadersHaving the courage of your convictions should be a prerequisite for elected office. Yet courage seems increasingly rare in the Idaho Statehouse and U.S. Capitol. It doesn’t have to be that way. I’ve seen tremendous courage from Idaho… -
Idaho 2026 Election Guide: Key Dates, Voting Information and ResultsIDAHO — The November 2026 election is approaching, and KMVT’s voter guide includes information voters need before heading to the polls. This guide incorporates reporting and election information from sister station Idaho News 6. On… -
Idaho politicians are using AI to write for themThe next time you come across an op-ed by an Idaho politician, think twice about the source. It may not be human. Op-eds and other online posts from some of Idaho’s most powerful elected officials contain heavy doses of artificial… -
Opinion: Cowardly candidates make weak leadersHaving the courage of your convictions should be a prerequisite for elected office. Yet courage seems increasingly rare in the Idaho Statehouse and U.S. Capitol. It doesn’t have to be that way. I’ve seen tremendous courage from Idaho… -
Opinion: Idaho's future depends on your voteWe’ve been here before. Less than four weeks before an election that could change the course of our nation’s future, all the talking heads are telling you to give up. It’s over, they say. Democrats will win the House, and probably the… -
Voter guide: Catch up here before the big dayIdaho voters will head to the polls Nov. 3 to decide school funding measures, legislative and congressional races, statewide offices, and several statewide ballot questions. Here’s what to know before you vote, including registration… -
ASI, Members of Congress Support American Sheep ProducersPUBLISHED ON October 13, 2026 The following Members of Congress signed on in bipartisan and bicameral support of the letter: Rep. Mark Amodei (R-NV) Rep. Jodey Arrington (R-TX) Rep. Brian Babin (R-TX) Rep. Jim Baird (R-IN) Rep. Cliff Bentz… -
Jones: If they aren't doing their job, fire themMike Simpson used to have an independent streak on natural resource issues, but he now follows each and every order issued by the president. Whatever happened to the concept of checks and balances? Mike asked for my support in 1984 to… -
Opinion: What do you do when hired hands won’t do the job? You fire themMike Simpson used to have an independent streak on natural resource issues, but he now follows each and every order issued by the president. Whatever happened to the concept of checks and balances? Mike asked for my support in 1984 to… -
New Federal Restrictions Threaten Hemp-Derived THC Products NationwideThe rest will be harvested in the next couple of weeks and turned into concentrate, destined to become products such as tinctures, 1-milligram THC gummies and 5-milligram THC lemonades, which Lovewell Farms launched earlier in September…
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AL-03 House winner?
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AL-04 House winner?
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AL-05 House winner?
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AL-06 House winner?
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions