AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%▼ 1
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
IA-04 House winner?
The odds
98%Chris McGowan
- Chris McGowan98%
- Dave Dawson2%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Chris McGowan: 96% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris McGowan | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 11.0K | |
| Dave Dawson | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $45.45 | 5.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IA- House, Chris McGowan, Dave Dawson
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Trump Rally: Sioux City's Chris McGowan takes the stage with President TrumpKTIV Trump Rally: Sioux City's Chris McGowan takes the stage with President Trump Discussion surrounding a small-scale data center continues in Estherville, Iowa Trump Rally: The president's full speech in Sioux City -
Iowa voter guide 2026: Key races, deadlines and voting locations for the 2026 electionIowa voters will head to the polls Tuesday, Nov. 3, to decide races for U.S. Senate, governor, Congress and local offices. Here's what voters in Scott, Muscatine and Clinton counties need to know before casting their ballots. From… -
Beyond the Podium: Chris McGowan talks national debt, Iran war and immigrationDES MOINES, Iowa — Iowa’s 4th Congressional District is an open seat this year after U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra launched an unsuccessful campaign for governor. Republican Chris McGowan and Democrat Dave Dawson are running for the seat… -
Fundraising tight in Iowa’s competitive U.S. House racesDemocrat Christina Bohannan (left) speaks Oct. 21, 2024, during a debate with Republican U.S. Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks hosted by Iowa PBS in Johnston. The two are candidates again for the U.S. House seat in Iowa’s 1st Congressional… -
Iowa’s 4th District is a Republican stronghold where turnout could shape statewide racesRepublican Chris McGowan is favored to win the race in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District — the state’s most conservative House seat. But Democrat Dave Dawson is trying take the district in a different direction. A strong showing for either… -
Wide open race for Iowa’s 4th congressional district pits Dave Dawson against Chris McGowanIt's a wide-open race for the northwestern Iowa seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. On Nov. 3, Iowans in congressional district 4 will cast their vote for who they want representing them in Congress. Randy Feenstra left the seat to… -
Trump rallies his Iowa base as Republicans face tougher statewide racesPresident Donald Trump rallied Republicans in Sioux City Thursday night as the party works to boost turnout in competitive statewide races. Trump carried Iowa in all three of his presidential campaigns and is trying to turn that support… -
Gubernatorial candidate Zach Lahn takes the stage at Sioux Gateway Airport.KTIV Gubernatorial candidate Zach Lahn takes the stage at Sioux Gateway Airport. Trump Rally: The final words of the president's speech in Iowa Trump Rally: Wrap up of the president's speech in Sioux City Trump Rally: Sioux City's Chris… -
TRUMP CAMPAIGNS FOR IOWA REPUBLICANS IN SIOUX CITY RALLYPRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP SPOKE TO OVER A THOUSAND PEOPLE IN SIOUX CITY THURSDAY NIGHT, MAKING THE CASE THAT HIS RECORD ON ISSUES LIKE BORDER SECURITY, TAXES AND THE ECONOMY ARE REASONS VOTERS SHOULD CAST THEIR BALLOTS FOR REPUBLICAN… -
Trump rallies Sioux City supporters, pushes GOP ticket ahead of Nov. 3 electionSIOUX CITY (KTIV) - President Donald Trump addressed supporters in Sioux City on Thursday, Oct. 22, using a more than 90-minute rally to promote Republican candidates, highlight farm and energy policies and announce his intention to rename… -
WATCH LIVE: President Trump Holds Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa – 7:30 PM ETPresident Trump is scheduled to speak at a campaign rally in Sioux City, Iowa, tonight to stump for Iowa GOP Senate Nominee and current Congresswoman Ashley Hinson, and other statewide and Congressional candidates. Trump posted his list of… -
Beyond the Podium: Dave Dawson discusses raising minimum wage, farm bill and immigrationDES MOINES, Iowa — The seat is open in Iowa's Fourth Congressional District after Representative Randy Feenstra launched an unsuccessful bid for Iowa governor. It's the most conservative district in Iowa, with political forecasters rating…
Related markets
All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%▼ 1
- Shomari Figures32%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
99%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt99%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
97%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer97%
- Maurice Mercer3%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions