GA-11 House winner?

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2 today · $9.8K traded · $4.1K at stake · prices read 33 min ago

The odds

95%John Cowan

John Cowan95%
Chris Harden5%

How the odds have moved

John Cowan: 95% on Oct 20, 95% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
John Cowan	95%		95¢	96¢	$1.05	9.5K
Chris Harden	5%		4¢	5¢	$20.00	15.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: GA- House, John Cowan, Chris Harden

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Georgia draws high-profile boosters to the campaign trail as candidates enter the homestretchNews From The States · 38 h agoSeveral big names are hitting the campaign trail in Georgia in hopes of driving up turnout on their side as voters choose their next governor and decide whether to send Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff back to Washington. Three GOP…
Major political figures descend on Georgia ahead of critical midterm electionsRough Draft® · 30 h agoSeveral big names are hitting the campaign trail in Georgia in hopes of driving up turnout on their side as voters choose their next governor and decide whether to send Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff back to Washington. Three GOP…
Rep. Austin Scott rallies with Bibb GOP womenMonroe-Macon Reporter · 5 days agoRep. Austin Scott in Macon. 8th District Republican Congressman Austin Scott said don't believe everything you hear in the national media about a possible Democrat sweep in next month's general election. Scott spoke to a Republican women's…
LETTER: DeLancy is most qualified for CongressOconee Enterprise · 12 days agoOconee Enterprise Now that Early Voting has begun in Georgia (10/13 â 10/30), it is critical for voters to consider the qualifications of the candidates running for federal and state offices. Near the top of the ballot, Iâm addressing…
Which States Have Election Commissions or Boardselectionreformers.org · 12 days agoInformation on who is appointed to these boards and how is rooted in state statutes. In order to demystify the process, ERN has collected information from each state, which you can find below: Detail: Secretary of State serves as…
Georgia election 2026: Early voting begins Tuesday for general electionWSB-TV Channel 2 - Atlanta · 13 days agoATLANTA — Early voting begins on Tuesday for primaries in Georgia. The last day to early vote will be Oct. 30. There are dozens of races set for the general election in November. The key statewide races include Georgia Governor, Lieutenant…
Georgia election 2026: Early voting for general election begins TuesdayYahoo News · 14 days agoEarly voting begins on Tuesday in Georgia for the general election. The last day to early vote will be Oct. 30. There are dozens of races set for the general election in November. The key statewide races include Georgia Governor…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onLibrary of Congress

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 11:00 AM ET

Traded$9.8K (24,975 contracts)

Today$2

This week$128

At stake$4.1K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the House member sworn in for GA-11 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

The race

The candidates, the incumbent, every market on this race and its coverage: the race on 4Conservative Politics ›

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions