AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
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FL-16 House winner?
The odds
78%Sydney Gruters
- Sydney Gruters78%▼ 1
- Kelly Kirschner22%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Sydney Gruters: 82% on Oct 20, 78% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Gruters | 78% | ▼ 1 | 78¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 11.2K |
| Kelly Kirschner | 22% | ▲ 2 | 21¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 7.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Sydney Gruters, Kelly Kirschner
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Foundations PAC puts ‘Trusted’ on the air for Sydney Gruters in CD 16Foundations PAC has launched “Trusted,” a 30-second ad supporting Sydney Gruters, the Republican nominee in Florida’s 16th Congressional District. The spot is airing on broadcast, cable and digital platforms across the district, and the… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Florida Congressional Candidate Films Man Appearing to Pick a Fight With Him, Jokes ‘Love My MAGA Neighborhood!’Somebody skipped their morning coffee Florida congressional candidate Mark Davis has made challenging the MAGA movement a central part of his political identity. Now, a video he shared shows him trading profanities with a man on a suburban… -
The fight for Florida's 16th DistrictKimberly Leonard's must-read briefing on what's hot, crazy or shady about politics in the Sunshine State You will now start receiving email updates 10/19/2026 07:00 AM EDT Former Sarasota Mayor Kelly Kirschner is the Democratic nominee for… -
Sunburn — The morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics — 10.23.26With the clock winding down and the game on the line, Florida Republicans are calling a familiar play: Alstott up the gut. President Donald Trump is swinging through the Sunshine State and is scheduled to speak at 2 p.m. at Alico Arena on… -
Last Call for 10.22.26 – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics— First Shot — Donald Trump is Florida-bound as Election Day approaches and questions linger over a congressional map Republicans drew to win more seats with less drama. Trump is scheduled to speak at 2 p.m. Friday at Florida Gulf Coast… -
Has Partisan Gerrymandering Backfired in Florida?Mother Jones illustration; Getty With just 20 days to go before the midterm elections, Kelly Kirschner faced a crowd of his supporters last week at Café Havana, a Cuban restaurant in Bradenton, Florida, located in Congressional District… -
Sydney Gruters slightly outraises Kelly Kirschner, grows sizable cash lead in CD 16Republican Sydney Gruters holds a cash advantage over Democrat Kelly Kirschner in the race to succeed U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan. But the two candidates saw roughly the same amount of money coming in during the last two months. New federal… -
Three very different candidates vying for Congress in Florida District 16A Donald Trump-backed Republican, a self-described “moderate Democrat and fiscal conservative” and a candidate with no party affiliation are vying for a seat representing Florida’s 16th Congressional District. Its current occupant… -
Voters Can Meet 13 Candidates at Free Event at The Well on ThursdayThirteen candidates running in the November election will attend a free meet-and-greet event Thursday, Oct. 15, from 5:30 to 7:30 p.m. at The Well, 114 E. Parker St. in Lakeland. Two additional candidates will send representatives. The… -
They Build It. You Pay for ItIf you've sat in traffic on a road built for half the people using it, or watched your street flood after an ordinary storm, you know the problem. Growth has outrun the roads, pipes and drainage meant to carry it. The people profiting from… -
“Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio…
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All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%
- Shomari Figures31%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
98%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt98%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer98%
- Maurice Mercer2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions