AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
FL-14 House winner?
The odds
66%Kathy Castor
- Kathy Castor66%▼ 1
- Mike Beltran34%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Kathy Castor: 68% on Oct 20, 66% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Castor | 66% | ▼ 1 | 66¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 273.8K |
| Mike Beltran | 34% | ▲ 2 | 34¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 193.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Kathy Castor, Mike Beltran
Search ›- Ad misleads on claim that Rep. Kathy Castor violated an insider trading lawConservative super PAC TV ads are telling some Florida voters that U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor, D-Fla., repeatedly violated a law aimed at curbing insider trading in Congress. “Over 20 years in Congress, Kathy Castor worked the system…
-
BREAKING: Kathy Castor Hit With Ethics Complaint for Misusing Official ResourcesNational Republican Congressional Committee Text VICTORY to 21818 to help DEFEND our conservative majority! BREAKING: Kathy Castor Hit With Ethics Complaint for Misusing Official Resources Radical Democrat Kathy Castor was just hit with an… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Rep Jim Jordan commends ‘common sense conservative’ running in tight Florida districtGOP congressional candidate Mike Beltran and Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, discuss Republican momentum in Florida’s 14th district on ‘Fox Report.’ ... Rep Jim Jordan commends ‘common sense conservative’ running in tight Florida district GOP… -
In a redrawn congressional district, Kathy Castor faces her toughest battleThe Hillsborough district leans strongly Republican, but election experts say the race between her and former state Rep. Mike Beltran is a toss-up. People like Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Kathy Castor. The reconfigured map removed a… -
Creative Loafing voting guide 2026: Hillsborough and Pinellas congressional seatsIt was a bit of a surprise to see The Tampa Bay Times recently “recommend” incumbent Republican Gus Bilikrakis over Democrat and former Hillsborough County commissioner Kimberly Oveman. In the write-up, the Times referred to Bilikrakis as… -
Karen Gonzalez Pittman seeks third term in HD 65 race against Ben BraverRepublican state Rep. Karen Gonzalez Pittman seeks a third term representing House District 65 in Tampa against Democratic challenger Ben Braver, a former teacher and progressive activist facing a steep financial disadvantage in the race… -
House Fight Tilts Blue, But GOP Still Has Escape RoutesDemocrats head into the next House battle with the kind of opening they have not seen in years. The national mood has turned sharply against the president in the White House, Republicans are dealing with voter anger over costs, and early… -
Florida Democrat Suddenly Says Men Shouldn’t Play in Girls’ Sports, Her Voting Record Says OtherwiseKathy Castor, the Democrat representing Florida’s 14th District, is trying to appeal to moderates as she faces Republican Mike Beltran in the upcoming midterm election. In both 2023 and 2025, Castor voted against the Protection of Women… -
Trump Political Org Pours Millions Into Florida District Race After House GOP PAC Slashed FundingPresident Donald Trump’s political operation planned to spend money in a competitive House race Thursday after Republicans slashed funding in the district. The super PAC planned to spend $1 million in Washington’s third district, $85,000… -
Last Squeeze🍊— 10.22.2026 — Florida GOP Drops Lawsuit Over Hope Florida Ad — Ben Shapiro Endorses Scott Singer — and Much More...Ron DeSantis: "Vote Yes on 3! The passage of Amendment 3 will be the largest property tax relief in a generation." Kathy Castor: "We have the momentum—but it's not over. The fight continues. We’re less than two weeks away from election… -
Kathy Castor, Mike Beltran square off in a rare debate for CongressIn an election season with few debates, there was a spirited one for U.S. House Friday at the Tampa Tiger Bay Club. It's for a close contest for what used to be a safe seat for Tampa Congresswoman Kathy Castor. Castor has served in…
Related markets
All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%
- Shomari Figures31%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
98%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt98%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer98%
- Maurice Mercer2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions