AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
Install
CA-18 House winner?
The odds
98%Zoe Lofgren
- Zoe Lofgren98%
- Shane Lewis2%
How the odds have moved
Zoe Lofgren: 97% on Oct 19, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe Lofgren | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 339 | |
| Shane Lewis | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Zoe Lofgren, Shane Lewis
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Musk threatens Democrats teeing up congressional probesElon Musk, President Donald Trump's multi-billionaire ally, on Wednesday threatened Democrats who want to investigate alleged corruption and his role in the US government if they win control of Congress next month. "Live by the sword, die… -
Elon Musk threatens Democrats teeing up congressional probesElon Musk, President Donald Trump's multi-billionaire ally, on Wednesday threatened Democrats who want to investigate alleged corruption and his role in the US government if they win control of Congress next month. "Live by the sword, die… -
Obama signs bill "unlocking" cell phonesAugust 1, 2014 / 4:37 PM EDT / CBS News WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama signed a bipartisan bill into law Friday that aims to make it easier for consumers to change their cell phone service providers without paying for a new phone… - Google In-House Lobbying Falls to $3.23M in Ad-Tech QuarterGoogle's in-house lobbying fell to $3.23M in Q3 2026 as the DOJ won ad-tech remedies. Learn which issues the filing covers and why it matters to advertisers. Google In-House Lobbying Falls to $3.23M in Ad-Tech Quarter Google Client…
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"Live By The Sword, Die By The Sword": Elon Musk's Message To DemocratsElon Musk, President Donald Trump's multi-billionaire ally, on Wednesday threatened Democrats who want to investigate alleged corruption and his role in the US government if they win control of Congress next month. "Live by the sword, die… - Intel Lobbying Rises as Senate Advances Chip Export ControlsIntel Corp. disclosed lobbying on the Stop Stealing our Chips Act, which passed the Senate on May 20 and awaits House action. The legislation would establish whistleblower incentives and protections for people reporting violations of U.S…
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Pelosi's office receives 'suspicious' mail, latest elected official to receive mysterious packageSAN FRANCISCO - DECEMBER 15: Stacks of boxes holding cards and letters are seen at the U.S. Post Office sort center December 15, 2008 in San Francisco, California. On its busiest day of the year, the U.S. Postal Service is expecting to… -
Nancy Pelosi’s San Francisco office latest California target of suspicious mailingsSpeaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi is seen in the U.S. Capitol in February. Pelosi’s San Francisco district office received a suspicious letter Wednesday, her spokesperson said. It comes as the FBI and U.S. Postal Inspection Service investigate… -
NSF Acting Director, Chief of Staff to ExitCharlotte Geary / NSF The high-profile departures could add to the current leadership vacuum at NSF. Stone has served as the face of the agency since the early days of the administration, a particularly tumultuous period for NSF. Keiser… -
Democrats Outline Priorities for Next Congress’ House Science CommitteeHouse Science Committee Ranking Member Zoe Lofgren (D-CA) at a hearing in September. Michael Brochstein/Sipa USA via AP With the Nov. 3 election less than three weeks away, Democratic lawmakers are hoping to reverse Trump administration… -
More Lawfare on the WayThe Democrats are all about making examples of Republicans to deter others from getting involved. As I wrote earlier today, Elissa Slotkin made the plan as clear as a sunny day: if you stick your head up, the Democrats are ready to chop it… -
Rep. Mike Thompson’s Napa office receives threatening letter containing white powderRep. Mike Thompson was one of more than three dozen members of Congress across the nation to receive threatening letters containing unidentified white powder, his office revealed Monday afternoon. The envelope was mailed to Thompson’s…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions