AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
CA-08 House winner?
The odds
97%John Garamendi
- John Garamendi97%
- Rudy Recile3%
How the odds have moved
John Garamendi: 97% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Garamendi | 97% | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.4K | |
| Rudy Recile | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, John Garamendi, Rudy Recile
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Congressman Garamendi honors Vacaville’s ‘Woman of the Year’Congressman John Garamendi awarded Teresa Tate, a treasurer and longtime volunteer for the Chinese American Association of Solano County, “Woman of the Year” for Vacaville on Friday. “Through her decades of dedicated service, Teresa has… -
First 5 Contra Costa Commissioner Dr. Rocío Hernández Honored as 2026 Women of the Year for California’s 8th Congressional DistrictDr. Rocio Hernández to Be Honored as 2026 Woman of the Year for California’s 8th Congressional District at October 23 Ceremony with Congressman John Garamendi First 5 Contra Costa and District 1 Supervisor John Gioia proudly celebrate Dr… -
Pat Toth-Smith: Silva deserves Supervisor voteMike Silva has spent his career showing that results work. Because of his experience, compassionate nature, and past work history, I’m asking you to vote for him as Solano County Supervisor for District 4. Silva’s achievements are many. As… -
Rep. John Garamendi calls Trump "just disgraceful" over Zelenskyy feud: "He's absolutely wrong"European Union leaders wrapped up a summit in Brussels on Friday as tensions between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and President Trump rise. Democratic Rep. John Garamendi of California, who sits on the House Armed Services… - Garamendi, DeSaulnier react to GAO watchdog report claiming ‘Trump’s EPA broke the law’, demand return of $19 million to North Richmond projectBy Cameron Niven, Communications Director, Office of Congressman John Garamendi This news comes more than one year after Reps. Garamendi and DeSaulnier confronted the EPA for violating federal appropriations law and federal court…
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Trump’s Genocidal Rhetoric On Iran Deserves Legal ConsequencesUS President Donald Trump’s threats to destroy Iran have become so frequent that they often don’t make headlines. One recent exception, though, was during his 38-minute speech at the 81st session of the UN General Assembly on September 22… - California Congressman Garamendi on Trump Lifting Russian Fuel Sanctions, Says, “Allowing Russia To Sell This Fuel Undermines American National Security And Provides Additional Revenue To Putin As He Continues His Brutal War Of Aggression Against Ukraine”October 15, 2026 - FAIRFIELD, CA – On Wednesday, Rep John Garamendi (D-CA-08), a senior member of the House Armed Services, released the following statement on President Trump’s decision to lift sanctions on Russian diesel fuel: Related…
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Solano County Arts Council executive director receives congressional honorU.S. Rep. John Garamendi will honor Solano County Arts Council Executive Director Carmen Slack as one of the Women of the Year for California’s 8th Congressional District. Garamendi (D-8th District) credited Slack for her longstanding… - US Democrats look to stop Trump's Saudi nuclear dealPublished on 09/17/2026 at 12:47 pm EDT - Modified on 09/17/2026 at 12:51 pm EDT WASHINGTON, Sept 17 (Reuters) - US House of Representatives Democrats raised concerns on Thursday about President Donald Trump's civil nuclear agreement with…
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Trump’s Genocidal Rhetoric on Iran Deserves Legal Consequences, Scholars SayThis article was originally published by Truthout As Trump repeats annihilation threats against Iran, legal scholars implore other countries to step in. US President Donald Trump’s threats to destroy Iran have become so frequent that they… -
Lassen Humane Society meets WednesdayEvery election, the same thing happens. Even sharp, engaged voters open their ballots, see a stack of propositions written in… The California Department of Transportation (Caltrans District 2) and American Pavement Systems, Inc. will begin…
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AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
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- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
98%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt98%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
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AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer98%
- Maurice Mercer2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions