KalshiElections › HouseCloses Nov 3, 2027 · $327 today · $46.5K traded · $41.5K at stake · prices read 11 min ago
The odds
81%French Hill
French Hill81%
Chris Jones19%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
French Hill: 85% on Oct 20, 81% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
French Hill
81%
80¢
82¢
$1.22
43.3K
Chris Jones
19%
▲ 1
18¢
20¢
$5.00
60.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Dem underdog Chris Jones builds momentum in Arkansas House raceCNN · 5 days agoCNN Dem underdog Chris Jones builds momentum in Arkansas House race Incumbent Republican Congressman French Hill is in a close Arkansas House race with Democratic hopeful Chris Jones. Jones aims to be first Black lawmaker from Arkansas in…
Meet the Candidates: Chris JonesKMAland.com · 4 days ago(Lansing) -- KMA News continues its "Meet the Candidates" series, featuring the candidate running in key races in the November general election. Today, we turn our attention to the race for Iowa's agriculture secretary, with a report on…
Arkansas has never elected a Black member of Congress. Chris Jones could change thatTheGrio · 5 days agoThe physicist, nonprofit executive and former gubernatorial nominee is running a competitive campaign against Republican Rep. French Hill. As Election Day nears, Black history is within reach in a very competitive U.S. House race in…
314 Action Fund Endorses Chris Jones for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District3.14 Action · 4 days ago$17 is our average donation! Today 314 Action Fund, the nation’s only organization dedicated to recruiting, training and electing doctors and scientists, endorsed Chris Jones for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District. Click an option to…
Iowa’s cancer problem is scrambling the midtermsCNN · 38 h agoAs the debate season kicked off in Iowa’s heated gubernatorial race, one question seemed to animate and, in some ways, unify the candidates. “What are the immediate and specific steps that you would take to combat Iowa’s cancer crisis?”…
Democrats split over House-passed community banking package@POLITICOPro · 2 days agoRep. Bill Foster and other House Financial Services Committee Democrats broke with panel ranking member Maxine Waters in supporting the community banking package.Alex Brandon/AP The House passed legislation Tuesday aimed at easing…
This is a piece about the elections, but at first it won’t seem like itArkansas Times · 45 h agoA powerful delegation, but here’s my question: why do they seem so powerless? On Jan. 1, 2014, the first Arkansans began enjoying health insurance coverage under Arkansas’s innovative and bipartisan version of Medicaid expansion. For over…
Real debate is about substance, policy, people, not ‘gotchas’@arkansasonline · 5 days agoOne of the favorite "gotchas" of pseudo-debaters/culture-war gnats (they're not warriors, and are mostly annoying) is to demand the definition of a woman (this happens more often if the "debaters" are male). And speaking of uteruses, what…
What Arkansans said on the first day of early voting for the midterm electionMountain Home Observer · 5 days agoPolls across Arkansas opened for early voting Monday, with thousands of people expected to cast their ballots before Election Day next month. Voters will decide whether to grant Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders, U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton and the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions