Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 25, 2 AM ETErling Haaland: 38% → 45%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Erling Haaland
45%
▲ 1
44¢
45¢
$2.22
8.6K
Lionel Messi
9%
▼ 1
6¢
11¢
$9.09
2.5K
Jalen Brunson
5%
3¢
7¢
$14.29
401
Lamine Yamal
4%
2¢
5¢
$20.00
1.9K
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
1.2K
LeBron James
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
681
Kylian Mbappé
2%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
406
Neymar Jr
2%
▼ 1
3¢
$33.33
35.00
OG Anunoby
2%
3¢
$33.33
12.00
Lindsey Vonn
2%
3¢
$33.33
16.00
Shohei Ohtani
1%
2¢
$50.00
793
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Erling Haaland returns for Manchester City's trip to Aston VillaCBS Sports · 3 days agoEnzo Maresca has confirmed Erling Haaland is "100% available" for Manchester City's trip to Aston Villa in the Premier League. Haaland was an unused substitute as City brushed aside AEK Athens 5-1 in midweek, with Phil Foden the biggest…
Erling Haaland gives Man City teammate dressing down as he pulls rank during lossDaily Mirror · 15 h agoErling Haaland was not pleased with a team-mate as Manchester City lost to Aston Villa(Image: Getty) Erling Haaland lambasted Gianluigi Donnarumma during Manchester City's 2-1 loss to Aston Villa. The defeat at Villa Park ended City's…
Erling Haaland and Aitch Settle Manchester’s Biggest Rivalry in ‘Call of Duty’@TheSource · 45 h agoShawn Grant is a Chicago native and the Senior Editor of The Source Magazine. He can only be found on Instagram and Twitter at @shawnxgrant. The classic Manchester derby is taking on a whole new look as football star Erling Haaland and…
Why isn't Erling Haaland starting for Manchester City vs. AEK Athens?Yahoo Sports · 5 days agoErling Haaland is not in the lineup for Manchester City as the Premier League leaders take on AEK Athens in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, Oct. 20. Haaland has been on a tear, scoring five goals in his last three matches including a…
Enzo Maresca confirms Erling Haaland fitness before Man City take on Aston VillaThe Independent · 2 days agoTop scorer Erling Haaland is set to return as Manchester City travel to Aston Villa this weekend. The prolific Norway striker was not risked in City’s Champions League victory over AEK Athens in midweek after a blow to the foot in the…
Why Is Erling Haaland Not Playing Today for Manchester City vs. AEK Athens?Yahoo Sports · 5 days agoManchester City hosts AEK Athens in today's Champions League fixture as they look to bounce back from a 4-2 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain last week. Despite the defeat, they remain in top form in the Premier League after beating Ipswich…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
