Justin Bieber Streams in 2026

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Jan 2, 2027 · $12.8K traded · $5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

18.39Bmedian

15.00B21.00B

Median 18.39B

How the odds have moved

Median: 18.39B on Oct 20, 18.39B now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
✓ Above 12.5B	99%				$1.01	552
✓ Above 13B	99%				$1.01	275
✓ Above 13.5B	97%				$1.03	377
✓ Above 14B	97%				$1.03	780
✓ Above 14.5B	99%				$1.01	189
✓ Above 15B	94%				$1.06	365
Above 15.5B	100%		99¢			494
Above 16B	99%		60¢		$1.01	768
Above 16.5B	96%		20¢	99¢	$1.01	878
Above 17B	95%		20¢	99¢	$1.01	990
Above 17.5B	94%	▼ 1	89¢	99¢	$1.01	1.3K
Above 18B	88%		85¢	90¢	$1.11	5.7K
Above 18.5B	39%		2¢	98¢	$1.02	360
Above 19B	39%		2¢	98¢	$1.02	821
Above 19.5B	39%			46¢	$2.17	207
Above 20.0B	39%				$2.56	410
Above 20.5B	30%				$3.33	700

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Justin Bieber Streams, Justin Bieber

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onLuminate

Trading closesJan 2, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$12.8K (15,197 contracts)

This week$12.8K

At stake$5K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Justin Bieber has Above 12.5B Worldwide Streams during the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.