The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units
30,000median
10,000100,000
Median 30,000Middle half 18,929 – 53,125
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Carnaval de Luz: First Week Album Equivalent Units (Carnaval de Luz | November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026)
The odds
47,143median
20,000150,000
Median 47,143Middle half 40,000 – 72,603
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 25K | 90% | 89¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 342 | |
| Above 30K | 78% | 75¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 13.00 | |
| Above 40K | 75% | ▲ 14 | 71¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 36.00 |
| Above 50K | 40% | ▼ 2 | 36¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 10.00 |
| Above 60K | 30% | 25¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 100 | |
| Above 70K | 30% | ▲ 13 | 28¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 43.00 |
| Above 80K | 12% | 8¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 64.00 | |
| Above 90K | 6% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 135 |
| Above 100K | 3% | ▼ 3 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 187 |
| Above 125K | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 505 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Album Equivalent Units Carnaval de Luz, Carnaval de Luz
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.