MI-08 House winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $11 today · $4.5K traded · $1.9K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

94%Kristen McDonald Rivet
  • Kristen McDonald Rivet94%
  • Thomas J. Smith3%

How the odds have moved

Kristen McDonald Rivet: 94% on Oct 20, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Kristen McDonald Rivet 94% 94¢ 95¢ $1.06 4.6K
Thomas J. Smith 3% 1¢ 5¢ $21.74 5.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: MI- House, Kristen McDonald Rivet, Thomas J. Smith

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  • House Democrats Make Hegseth Their First Impeachment Target, Vote Expected Next Month@cdnnow · 22 h agoHouse Democrats are rallying behind impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, with a floor vote likely next month while Republicans still control the chamber, The Wall Street Journal reported. Party leaders and candidates in competitive…
  • Rep. McDonald Rivet rallies supporters in FlintABC 12 WJRT-TV · 4 days agoGeorgia Senator Rev. Raphael Warnock and Congresswoman Kristen McDonald Rivet held a rally in Flint, addressing urgent issues facing local families as the election approaches. FLINT, Mich. (WJRT) - Senator Reverend Raphael Warnock and…
  • 13 Contests TPM Will Be Following Especially Closely on Election DayTPM – Talking Points Memo · 3 days agoThere’s a lot to pay attention to this year. With Democrats putting up seemingly fantastical numbers in the polls, the map is expanded in ways that no one thought possible a year ago. Is Texas in play? Is Kansas? Looming over it is Trump’s…
  • MAGA Inc. trims the mapPOLITICO · 5 days agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By ADAM WREN, WILL STEAKIN and DASHA BURNS 10/12/2026 07:05 AM EDT Updated 10/12/2026 11:12 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Good…
  • Senator Warnock joins Rep. McDonald Rivet at Flint get-out-the-vote rallyWSMH2 · 4 days agoPresident Trump delivers remarks at a midterm rally in Pendleton, South Carolina. FLINT, Mich. — With Election Day approaching, U.S. Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet is campaigning for re-election in mid-Michigan with help from a prominent U.S…
  • Sen. Slotkin responds after Trump says she ‘should be tried’ABC 12 WJRT-TV · 4 days agoMichigan Sen. Elissa Slotkin is pushing back after President Donald Trump said she should be tried in court over remarks she made about investigating members of his administration. WASHINGTON, D.C. (WJRT) - Michigan U.S. Sen. Elissa…
  • Democrats trim bets as House money gets tightenmnews.com · 4 days agoHouse Democrats are making a late-cycle retreat in several competitive races, pulling ad money out of districts where hopes of an upset have collided with the reality of a finite war chest. The shift underscores a familiar problem for the…
  • House Democrats shift midterm spending as cash runs shortМежа · 4 days agoHouse Majority PAC is cutting back in several Republican-leaning districts and redirecting money to races Democrats consider more central battlegrounds. Democrats face hard choices over where to spend as their campaign committees struggle…
  • Advocates rally against rising health care costs in FlintWSMH2 · 6 days agoFLINT, Mich. - Local health care advocates gathered at the Flint Farmers’ Market on Monday afternoon to speak out against rising costs hitting Michiganders pockets. The “Protect Our Care” bus tour has been traveling around the country over…
  • Healthcare advocates demand action on rising costs during Flint stopABC 12 WJRT-TV · 6 days agoFLINT, Mich. (WJRT) - Congresswoman Kristen McDonald Rivet joined healthcare advocates in Flint on Tuesday afternoon as part of a nationwide bus tour targeting healthcare costs. The "Sick of It" bus tour stopped at the Flint Farmers'…
  • With two weeks to go, candidates in Michigan's 8th Congressional District outline their prioritiesMichigan Public · 5 days agoThere are just two weeks remaining before the November general election, and candidates are stumping to get their closing messages to voters. Michigan's 8th Congressional District stretches from Flint north to Saginaw, Bay City, and…
  • ‘Fix Healthcare Now’ bus tour stops in Flint amid premium concerns@WNEMTV5news · 6 days agoFLINT, Mich. — Advocates are urging federal lawmakers to address Medicaid cuts and Affordable Care Act tax credits. Affordable Care Act premiums are expected to rise 15% in 2027, according to health researcher KFF. Insurers cite rising…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.