CPI in September (In Sep 2026)
0.53%median
-0.5%1%
Median 0.53%Middle half 0.46% – 0.58%
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Predictions
What traders on Kalshi and Polymarket expect for the Fed, inflation, jobs and growth, the stock market, companies, crypto, commodities and currencies: the odds of each outcome and the ranges they imply, next to the instruments they are about.
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
3.6%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.6%Middle half 3.54% – 3.67%
Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
2.39%median
2%3.6%
Median 2.39%Middle half 2.33% – 2.46%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
3.82%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.82%Middle half 3.63% – 4.01%
CPI in October (In Oct 2026)
0.23%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.23%Middle half 0.11% – 0.34%
Jobs numbers in October 2026?
54Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 54KMiddle half 20K – 101K
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
3.63%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.63%Middle half 3.45% – 3.97%
CPI in November (In Nov 2026)
0.18%median
-0.2%0.6%
Median 0.18%Middle half 0.02% – 0.29%
CPI in December (In Dec 2026)
0.21%median
-0.2%1%
Median 0.21%Middle half 0.11% – 0.3%
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
70Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 70KMiddle half 22K – 112K
How high will inflation get in 2026?
13%Above 4.5%
4%12%
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
84,522median
79,00093,000
Median 84,522Middle half 83,893 – 85,219
CPI core in September (In Sep 2026)
0.17%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.17%Middle half 0.11% – 0.24%
Core CPI MoM - September 2026
0.22%median
-0.05%0.65%
Median 0.22%Middle half 0.17% – 0.28%
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
2.66%median
1.9%3.6%
Median 2.66%Middle half 2.56% – 2.78%
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
257,947median
230,000285,000
Median 257,947Middle half 255,316 – 261,196
CPI core in October (In Oct 2026)
0.19%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.19%Middle half 0.13% – 0.27%
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.17%median
2.51%7.49%
Median 5.17%Middle half 4.85% – 5.43%
Visitors to Florida in 2026
141.8median
134150
Median 141.8Middle half 140.3 – 143.3
Unemployment in October (In Oct 2026)
4.14%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.14%Middle half 4.06% – 4.22%
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
8.84median
8.309.30
Median 8.84Middle half 8.70 – 8.96
New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
2.05median
1.602.50
Median 2.05Middle half 1.98 – 2.11
India Annual Inflation 2026
4.86%median
0.01%5.24%
Median 4.86%Middle half 4.66% – 5.05%
Maine lobster landings in 2026
73.6median
5095
Median 73.6Middle half 67.2 – 78.6
How high will inflation get this year? (In 2026)
18%At least 4.5%
- Reaches 4.5%18%
- Reaches 5%11%
- Reaches 5.5%9%
- Reaches 6%6%
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP
$32,380median
$30,500$35,500
Median $32,380Middle half $32,139 – $32,750
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.44%median
1.95%2.95%
Median 2.44%Middle half 2.38% – 2.5%
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.22%median
1.5%4.4%
Median 2.22%Middle half 2.09% – 2.35%
Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
456,534median
445,000465,000
Median 456,534Middle half 453,973 – 458,922
Brazil inflation rate in October (In Oct 2026)
4.76%median
3.8%5%
Median 4.76%Middle half 4.65% – 4.89%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.