Jobs numbers in October 2026?
55Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 55KMiddle half 20K – 100K
Install
Visitors to Florida in 2026
The odds
141.8median
134150
Median 141.8Middle half 140.3 – 143.3
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 136 million | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | 38.5K | |
| Above 138 million | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | 34.7K | |
| Above 140 million | 80% | 79¢ | 80¢ | 34.0K | |
| Above 142 million | 48% | 47¢ | 48¢ | 31.5K | |
| Above 144 million | 13% | 12¢ | 13¢ | 21.0K | |
| Above 146 million | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | 12.5K | |
| Above 148 million | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 24.0K |
Related markets
All inflation & jobs ›Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
70Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 70KMiddle half 22K – 112K
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
84,522median
79,00093,000
Median 84,522Middle half 83,893 – 85,219
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
257,947median
230,000285,000
Median 257,947Middle half 255,316 – 261,196
Unemployment in October (In Oct 2026)
4.14%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.14%Middle half 4.06% – 4.22%
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
8.84median
8.309.30
Median 8.84Middle half 8.70 – 8.96
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.