Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Closes Dec 4 · 6.9K contracts · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

70Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 70KMiddle half 22K – 112K

How the odds have moved

Median: 70K on Oct 13, 70K now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above -25,000 90% 85¢ 95¢ 889
Above 0 84% 79¢ 89¢ 510
Above 10,000 80% 75¢ 85¢ 333
Above 20,000 76% 71¢ 81¢ 263
Above 30,000 71% 66¢ 75¢ 648
Above 40,000 67% 62¢ 72¢ 256
Above 50,000 63% 58¢ 68¢ 490
Above 60,000 57% ▼ 1 52¢ 62¢ 365
Above 70,000 50% 45¢ 55¢ 294
Above 80,000 43% 38¢ 48¢ 443
Above 90,000 36% ▼ 1 31¢ 40¢ 707
Above 100,000 30% ▼ 1 25¢ 35¢ 84.00
Above 125,000 20% ▲ 1 15¢ 24¢ 1.6K

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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