Fed funds rate at end of 2029

Kalshi Closes Dec 31, 2029 · 3.7K contracts · prices read 11 min ago

The odds

3.69%median
0.75%6.25%
Median 3.69%Middle half 1.94% – 5.59%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 1.00% 88% 69¢ 94¢ 617
Above 1.25% 88% 78¢ 94¢ 444
Above 1.50% 84% 56¢ 88¢ 175
Above 1.75% 78% 51¢ 97¢ 42.00
Above 2.00% 74% 45¢ 90¢ 93.00
Above 2.25% 68% 39¢ 88¢ 136
Above 2.50% 61% 41¢ 88¢ 88.00
Above 2.75% 61% 37¢ 86¢ 244
Above 3.00% 61% 37¢ 86¢ 145
Above 3.25% 56% 37¢ 77¢ 86.00
Above 3.50% 56% 37¢ 72¢ 46.00
Above 3.75% 48% 47¢ 73¢ 8.00
Above 4.00% 44% 36¢ 61¢ 297
Above 4.25% 44% 33¢ 60¢ 146
Above 4.50% 35% 24¢ 59¢ 33.00
Above 4.75% 34% 34¢ 59¢ 13.00
Above 5.00% 34% 12¢ 32¢ 63.00
Above 5.25% 34% 11¢ 40¢ 124
Above 5.50% 29% 21¢ 46¢ 269
Above 5.75% 18% 5¢ 20¢ 162
Above 6.00% 17% 5¢ 18¢ 433

More on this question

All central banks & rates ›

Fed rate cut by...?

54%July 2027 Meeting
  • July 2027 Meeting54%
  • June 2027 Meeting37%
  • April 2027 Meeting33%
  • March 2027 Meeting17%▲ 1
3 more
  • January 2027 Meeting5%▼ 1
  • December 2026 Meeting3%
  • October 2026 Meeting1%
TLT+0.09%SPY−0.06%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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