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Commerce, OK Weather
Current conditions
Observed at Grove, Grove Municipal Airport · 1 hr ago
Forecast
10-day-
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southeast wind around 0 mph.
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Wednesday
A chance of rain showers after 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
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Wednesday Night
A chance of rain showers before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 49. East wind around 0 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 4 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now56°
- Wed12 AM55°
- 1 AM54°
- 2 AM53°
- 3 AM52°
- 4 AM51°
- 5 AM50°
- 6 AM50°
- 7 AM49°
- 8 AM49°
- 9 AM54°
- 10 AM60°
- 11 AM64°
- 12 PM67°
- 1 PM70°
- 2 PM71°
- 3 PM72°
- 4 PM73°
- 5 PM72°
- 6 PM70°
- 7 PM66°
- 8 PM61°
- 9 PM58°
- 10 PM57°
10-day forecast
Details- TonightOct 20Partly Cloudy49°
- WedOct 21Chance Rain Showers49°73°
- ThuOct 22Sunny52°76°
- FriOct 23Sunny54°76°
- SatOct 24Mostly Sunny54°78°
- SunOct 25Mostly Sunny53°75°
- MonOct 26Partly Sunny10%51°71°
- TueOct 27Partly Sunny67°
- WedOct 28Cloudy44°51°
- ThuOct 29Sunny38°58°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Commerce
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Air quality
Acceptable. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.
Miami, OK reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyColumbus, records since 1892. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in TSA, issued 5 hrs ago
Key Messages
Updated at 608 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
- Potential for isolated sprinkles will continue for the next couple of days north of I-40 as an upper wave moves across.
- A gradual warming trend is expected to continue.
- A weather system may bring a low chance of showers and thunderstorms this weekend or early next week, but otherwise the forecast remains dry. Confidence remains low on when or if this will impact the area.
Short Term
(Through tonight) Issued at 1245 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
Low impact weather continues across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas this afternoon and tonight. Temperatures at midday are already nearing normal seasonal highs in most areas, although thicker cloud cover and sprinkles are keeping temperatures lower in highly localized spots in northeast Oklahoma at present. Speaking of sprinkles, that potential will continue through tonight, particularly across areas north of I-40, in association with an upper level disturbance moving through the Central Plains. With the low levels remaining very dry, sprinkles is all that should result, although a very low chance of measurable rain may develop late tonight along the Kansas border if enough persistent shower activity leads to more low level saturation than currently expected. The NAM, particularly, is hinting at this somewhat.
Long Term
(Tomorrow through Tuesday) Issued at 1245 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
Sprinkles or localized light rain may continue into Wednesday, spreading eastward through the day, with a likelihood of it shifting east of the area by the evening hours. Upper level ridging will build fully into the region for the latter part of the week and into the weekend, with above normal temperatures and dry conditions likely to prevail. Fire weather conditions may uptick a tad on Friday for areas northwest of I-44 as southerly winds increase in the afternoon. This area has seen rain recently, though, which may offset some of this somewhat. There continues to be a storm system that approaches the area late in the weekend into early next week, which brings low rain chances to the area. However, this system continues to have poor consistency in when or how much impact it will have on our area. If it moves through, expect a decrease in temperatures, probably early to middle part of next week, with the aforementioned low rain chances.
Aviation
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 608 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
VFR conditions will prevail at all stirs through the period, with periodic BKN mid clouds and scattered virga or light sprinkles. A few lightning strikes have been observed this afternoon across central OK and there is a non-zero chance of this across NE OK this evening or overnight. Winds remain light from the south to southeast.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.