Install
Control of the House, 2026
Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Republicans Sweep.
Prediction markets
-
- Democratic Party89%
- Republican Party11%
- Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsPolymarket
- Democrats Sweep62%
- R Senate, D House28%
- Republicans Sweep10%▲1
- D Senate, R House<1%
- Other<1%
- Which party will win the House in 2026?Polymarket
- Democratic Party91%
- Republican Party10%
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- Below 19024%▼4
- 205-20919%▲7
- 195-19917%▲3
- 200-20411%▼4
- 210-21410%▼1
- 190-19410%▼3
- + 4 more outcomes
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- Yes1%
- Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Polymarket
- Yes98%
-
- Chance of each threshold being reached:
- Before 11PM Nov 310%▼1
- Before Nov 428%▼9
- Before 1AM Nov 441%▼5
- Before 4AM Nov 461%▼9
- Before Nov 685%
- Before Nov 1190%
- + 2 more outcomes
- House control favorite on November 2?Polymarket
- Democratic Party>99%
- Republican Party<1%
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.
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