Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
3%chance
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What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
The odds
$92,500high with an even chance
Bitcoin now 82,713.96 −0.95% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $92,500.
- Reaches $90,00062%
- Reaches $95,00039%
- Reaches $100,00027%
- Reaches $110,00012%
- Reaches $120,0008%
- Reaches $130,0004%
- Reaches $140,0003%
- Reaches $150,0003%
- Falls to $70,00039%
- Falls to $65,00023%
- Falls to $60,00015%
- Falls to $55,00010%
- Falls to $50,0007%
- Falls to $45,0004%
- Falls to $40,0003%
- Falls to $35,0002%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ ↑ 65,000 | >99% | ▲ 3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $15.2K |
| ✓ ↑ 65,000 | >99% | ▲ 7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $41.7K |
| ✓ ↑ 70,000 | >99% | ▲ 29 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $274.1K |
| ✓ ↑ 70,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $44.1K | |
| ✓ ↑ 75,000 | >99% | ▲ 30 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $257.8K |
| ✓ ↑ 75,000 | >99% | ▼ 2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | |
| ✓ ↑ 80,000 | >99% | ▲ 12 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $680.1K |
| ✓ ↑ 80,000 | >99% | ▲ 5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $775.6K |
| ✓ ↑ 85,000 | >99% | ▲ 21 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $921.1K |
| ✓ ↑ 90,000 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $23.2K | |
| ↑ 90,000 | 62% | ▼ 4 | 61¢ | 62¢ | $2.4M |
| ↑ 95,000 | 39% | ▼ 5 | 38¢ | 39¢ | $940.9K |
| ↑ 100,000 | 27% | ▼ 4 | 26¢ | 27¢ | $3.8M |
| ↑ 110,000 | 12% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 12¢ | $2.0M |
| ↑ 120,000 | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $2.2M | |
| ↑ 130,000 | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $2.0M | |
| ↑ 140,000 | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1.3M | |
| ↑ 150,000 | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1.3M | |
| ↑ 160,000 | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $725.9K | |
| ↑ 170,000 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $479.6K | |
| ↑ 180,000 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $578.3K | |
| ↑ 190,000 | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $815.6K | |
| ↑ 200,000 | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $2.1M | |
| ↑ 250,000 | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $5.5M | |
| ↑ 500,000 | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.7M | |
| ↑ 1,000,000 | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2.9M | |
| ↓ 5,000 | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $822.5K | |
| ↓ 10,000 | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $897.9K | |
| ↓ 15,000 | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $5.0M | |
| ↓ 20,000 | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $636.8K | |
| ↓ 25,000 | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1.4M | |
| ↓ 30,000 | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $913.7K | |
| ↓ 35,000 | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $3.5M | |
| ↓ 40,000 | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $2.7M | |
| ↓ 45,000 | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $8.5M | |
| ↓ 50,000 | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $4.3M | |
| ↓ 55,000 | 10% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $6.7M |
| ✓ ↓ 60,000 | >99% | ▲ 10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $137.4K |
| ↓ 60,000 | 15% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 16¢ | $1.2M |
| ✓ ↓ 60,000 | >99% | ▼ 17 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $43.9K |
| ↓ 65,000 | 23% | ▲ 3 | 22¢ | 24¢ | $575.9K |
| ✓ ↓ 65,000 | >99% | ▲ 18 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.5M |
| ↓ 70,000 | 39% | ▲ 3 | 38¢ | 39¢ | $929.6K |
| ✓ ↓ 75,000 | >99% | ▲ 21 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $279.5K |
| ✓ ↓ 75,000 | >99% | ▲ 12 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.1M |
| ✓ ↓ 85,000 | >99% | ▲ 11 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $12.4K |
More on this question
All crypto ›Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
$83,573median
$15,000$155,000
Median $83,573Middle half $74,407 – $94,944Above today's price 53%
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again? (2026)
28%Before January 2027
- Before November 20264%
- Before December 202618%
- Before January 202728%▼ 6
How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
9%Below $55,000.00
- Falls to $55,0009%
- Falls to $50,0009%
- Falls to $45,0007%
- Falls to $40,0006%
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
84%August
- August84%▲ 2
- December9%▼ 1
- November5%
- October3%
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
3%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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