Before November 2026: 4% on Oct 13, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before September 2026 | 1% | 362.6K | |||
| Before October 2026 | 1% | 1.9M | |||
| Before November 2026 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | 310.4K | |
| Before December 2026 | 18% | ▼ 3 | 17¢ | 18¢ | 173.5K |
| Before January 2027 | 28% | ▼ 6 | 27¢ | 28¢ | 1.3M |
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $93,415.
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.