Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

Polymarket Closes Dec 31 · $151.4K traded · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

14%December 31, 2026

S&P 500 now 7,807.24 −0.06%

December 31, 202614%▼ 6

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Traded
November 30, 2025	<1%			0¢	$10.4K
December 31, 2025	<1%			0¢	$2.9K
December 31, 2026	14%	▼ 6	11¢	17¢	$138.1K

More on this question

All indexes ›

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

70%S&P 500

S&P 50070%▼ 1
Bitcoin22%▲ 2
Gold8%▼ 1

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.20%IVV−0.04%SPY−0.06%

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

2%chance

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.20%IVV−0.04%SPY−0.06%

Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

92%chance▼ 2

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.20%IVV−0.04%SPY−0.06%

How high will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)

8,082high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,082.

Reaches 8,00063%
Reaches 8,20032%
Reaches 8,40014%
Reaches 8,6007%

Already reached: 7,800 or above

^GSPC−0.06%IVV−0.04%ES=F−0.20%VOO−0.04%

How low will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)

10%6,300 or below

Falls to 6,30010%
Falls to 6,2008%
Falls to 6,1007%
Falls to 6,0007%

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.20%IVV−0.04%SPY−0.06%

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,892median

3,8009,200

Median 7,892Middle half 7,514 – 8,141Above today's price 58%

^GSPC−0.06%VOO−0.04%SPY−0.06%IVV−0.04%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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