Bank of Japan rate decision in October (Oct 29, 2026 meeting)
93%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate93%
- Hike 25bps5%
- Hike more than 25bps1%▲ 1
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
1 more
- Cut 25bps1%▼ 1
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Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
The odds
72,273median
Nikkei 225 now 67,108.55 −2.78% 50,00090,000
Median 72,273Middle half 65,270 – 77,102Above today's price 70%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <55,000 | 9% | 11¢ | 12¢ | $1.3K | |
| 55,000-60,000 | 7% | 19¢ | $424 | ||
| 60,000-65,000 | 8% | 1¢ | 22¢ | $777 | |
| 65,000-70,000 | 15% | 1¢ | 39¢ | $637 | |
| 70,000-75,000 | 25% | ▲ 2 | 21¢ | 45¢ | $6.5K |
| 75,000-80,000 | 28% | ▼ 3 | 22¢ | 52¢ | $7.3K |
| 80,000-85,000 | 3% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $569 |
| 85,000+ | 6% | 1¢ | 16¢ | $677 |
More on this question
All indexes ›Bank of Japan Decision in December?
66%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase66%
- No change31%
- 50+ bps increase3%
- 25 bps decrease1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance▼ 2
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
70%S&P 500
- S&P 50070%▼ 1
- Bitcoin22%▲ 2
- Gold8%▼ 1
How high will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)
8,082high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,082.
- Reaches 8,00063%
- Reaches 8,20032%
- Reaches 8,40014%
- Reaches 8,6007%
Already reached: 7,800 or above
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,892median
3,8009,200
Median 7,892Middle half 7,514 – 8,141Above today's price 58%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.