Install
How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
The odds
How the odds have moved
At least ¥73,000: 40% on Oct 14, 8% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least ¥73,000 | 8% | 50¢ | 7.5K | ||
| At least ¥74,000 | 8% | ▼ 18 | 2¢ | 18¢ | 6.7K |
| At least ¥75,000 | 8% | 23¢ | 3.4K | ||
| At least ¥76,000 | 6% | 14¢ | 3.5K | ||
| At least ¥77,000 | 4% | 11¢ | 2.9K | ||
| At least ¥78,000 | 4% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 2.6K | |
| At least ¥79,000 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 3.0K | |
| At least ¥80,000 | 3% | 9¢ | 68.00 |
More on this question
All indexes ›Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change96%▲ 1
- 25 bps increase3%▼ 1
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase72%▼ 3
- No change26%▲ 1
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps increase1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease1%
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
- S&P 50073%
- Bitcoin18%▼ 1
- Gold9%
How high will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,015.
- Reaches 8,00052%
- Reaches 8,20025%
- Reaches 8,40010%
- Reaches 8,6005%
Already reached: 7,800 or above
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.