Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

Polymarket Closes Jan 4, 2027 · $2.5K traded · prices read 16 min ago

The odds

92%Roblox
  • Roblox92%▲ 2
  • Epic Games9%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
Roblox 92% ▲ 2 90¢ 93¢ $2.5K
Epic Games 9% ▼ 2 7¢ 10¢ $2.5K

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Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)

7%Roblox
  • Twilio98%
  • Cheniere Energy30%▼ 1
  • Astera Labs23%▲ 3
  • Roblox7%
31 more
  • Credo Technology16%
  • Okta12%
  • Curtiss-Wright12%
  • Southern Copper9%
  • Cloudflare9%▼ 1
  • Alnylam Pharmaceuticals9%
  • HEICO9%
  • LPL Financial9%
  • ATI9%
  • MongoDB9%
  • Zoom9%
  • Affirm Holdings9%
  • Circle Internet Group9%
  • Tradeweb Markets9%
  • Rocket Companies9%
  • Venture Global9%
  • Toast9%
  • TPG9%
  • Snowflake9%
  • Atlassian9%
  • Natera9%
  • BWX Technologies8%
  • Guidewire Software8%
  • Talen Energy8%
  • Duolingo7%
  • SoFi7%
  • SpaceX7%▲ 5
  • CoreWeave4%
  • Medline2%
  • Strategy (MicroStrategy)2%
  • Cerebras2%
RKT−5.31%SCCO−0.25%SNOW−2.31%SPCX+0.52%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 28, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20266%▲ 2
  • November 30, 202658%▲ 4
2 more
  • December 15, 202667%▲ 6
  • December 31, 202673%▲ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.