Roblox daily active users in fiscal 2026

Kalshi Closes May 12, 2027 · 3.6K contracts · prices read 15 min ago

The odds

144.90Mmedian
120.00M180.00M
Median 144.90MMiddle half 133.70M – 173.04M

How the odds have moved

Median: 142.63M on Oct 3, 144.90M now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 130 million 85% 3.00
Above 140 million 58% 75¢ 3.00
Above 145 million 50% 2¢ 90¢ 1.3K
Above 150 million 50% 2¢ 75¢ 719
Above 155 million 50% 2¢ 97¢ 326
Above 160 million 50% 2¢ 99¢ 210
Above 165 million 50% 2¢ 99¢ 168
Above 170 million 50% 7¢ 99¢ 494
Above 175 million 9% 2¢ 15¢ 336

Related markets

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Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)

6%Roblox
  • Twilio98%
  • Cheniere Energy32%▼ 3
  • Astera Labs26%▲ 5
  • Roblox6%
31 more
  • Okta22%
  • Credo Technology15%▼ 12
  • SoFi14%▼ 10
  • MongoDB12%▲ 5
  • Affirm Holdings11%▼ 1
  • Alnylam Pharmaceuticals10%▼ 2
  • Rocket Companies9%
  • Southern Copper9%
  • LPL Financial9%
  • ATI9%▼ 5
  • Circle Internet Group9%
  • Tradeweb Markets9%
  • Venture Global9%
  • TPG9%
  • Snowflake9%
  • Atlassian9%
  • Natera9%
  • Talen Energy8%
  • HEICO7%▼ 1
  • Zoom7%
  • Curtiss-Wright7%
  • Toast7%
  • Cloudflare7%
  • SpaceX6%
  • CoreWeave4%
  • BWX Technologies3%
  • Guidewire Software3%
  • Duolingo3%
  • Medline2%▼ 2
  • Strategy (MicroStrategy)2%
  • Cerebras2%
OKTA+2.37%RBLX+4.55%RKT−0.25%SCCO−0.70%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.15Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.15T.

  • Reaches $1.5T94%
  • Reaches $1.75T83%
  • Reaches $2T65%
  • Reaches $2.25T40%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B3%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 20, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20263%▲ 2
  • November 16, 20269%▲ 2
  • November 17, 202619%▲ 4
  • November 18, 202627%▲ 1
8 more
  • November 19, 202641%
  • November 20, 202663%▲ 2
  • November 23, 202673%▲ 5
  • November 24, 202680%▲ 5
  • November 25, 202683%▲ 3
  • November 30, 202686%▲ 3
  • December 15, 202691%▼ 1
  • December 31, 202692%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use. How to use Finance