Anthropic IPO by __?

Polymarket Closes Dec 31 · $4.6M traded · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

Nov 28, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20266%▲ 2
  • November 30, 202659%▲ 5
  • December 15, 202666%▲ 5
  • December 31, 202666%▼ 7

How the odds have moved

October 31, 2026: <1% on Oct 13, <1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
June 30, 2026 <1% 0¢ $32.2K
July 31, 2026 <1% 0¢ $75.8K
September 15, 2026 <1% 0¢ $325.2K
September 30, 2026 <1% 0¢ $1.1M
October 15, 2026 <1% 0¢ $240.8K
October 31, 2026 <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.2M
November 15, 2026 6% ▲ 2 5¢ 7¢ $133.4K
November 30, 2026 59% ▲ 5 58¢ 59¢ $269.2K
December 15, 2026 66% ▲ 5 66¢ 67¢ $166.0K
December 31, 2026 66% ▼ 7 64¢ 66¢ $1.1M

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T
  • $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T24%▲ 6
  • $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 3
  • $1.25–$1.5T3%▼ 1
  • $3.0T+3%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20273%▼ 1
  • <$1.25T2%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.