Which banks will take Anthropic public? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31, 2027 · 21.5K contracts · prices read 17 min ago

The odds

50%Mizuho
  • Mizuho50%▼ 42
  • Lazard18%
  • Centerview13%
  • Perella Weinberg Partners12%
  • Greenhill & Co11%
  • PJT Partners11%
  • Moelis & Company10%
  • Qatalyst Partners7%
  • Allen & Company5%
  • William Blair5%
  • Raymond James5%
  • Evercore5%
3 more
  • Rothschild & Co2%▼ 17
  • Piper Sandler1%
  • Stifel Financial1%

How the odds have moved

Mizuho: 85% on Oct 13, 50% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Mizuho 50% ▼ 42 50¢ 2.5K
Lazard 18% 50¢ 43.00
Centerview 13% 17¢ 2.3K
Perella Weinberg Partners 12% 50¢ 131
Greenhill & Co 11% 10¢ 611
PJT Partners 11% 50¢ 1.0K
Moelis & Company 10% 50¢ 218
Qatalyst Partners 7% 18¢ 2.4K
Allen & Company 5% 11¢ 2.4K
William Blair 5% 84¢ 1.3K
Raymond James 5% 79¢ 633
Evercore 5% 9¢ 1.1K
Rothschild & Co 2% ▼ 17 50¢ 2.8K
Piper Sandler 1% 83¢ 470
Stifel Financial 1% 1¢ 3.5K

Related markets

All stocks & companies ›

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 20, 2026even chance by
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20262%▼ 1
  • November 16, 20268%▲ 3
  • November 17, 202613%▼ 1
9 more
  • November 18, 202624%▼ 5
  • November 19, 202647%▼ 6
  • November 20, 202667%▼ 1
  • November 23, 202669%▼ 3
  • November 24, 202679%▲ 7
  • November 25, 202684%▼ 1
  • November 30, 202687%▼ 2
  • December 15, 202693%▲ 2
  • December 31, 202695%▲ 2

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.17Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.17T.

  • Reaches $1.5T96%
  • Reaches $1.75T85%
  • Reaches $2T74%
  • Reaches $2.25T38%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B4%
  • Falls to $600B3%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

30%$1.75–$2.0T
  • $1.75–$2.0T30%▼ 2
  • $2.0–$2.25T23%▲ 1
  • $1.5–$1.75T16%▼ 1
  • $2.25–$2.5T11%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.25–$1.5T7%▲ 1
  • No IPO by December 31, 20274%▲ 1
  • <$1.25T3%▲ 1
  • $2.5–$2.75T3%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%
  • $3.0T+1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use. How to use Finance