Montana Senate Race 2026

Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Kurt Alme, Seth Bodnar, Alani Bankhead.

Prediction markets

  • Montana Senate winner? (In 2026)Kalshi
    • Kurt Alme93%▼1
    • Seth Bodnar8%▲3
    • Alani Bankhead<1%
    680K contracts traded · closes Nov 3, 2027 · updated 1h ago
  • Montana Senate Election WinnerPolymarket
    • Kurt Alme (R)92%
    • Independent5%
    • Alani Bankhead (D)<1%
    $163K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 17m ago
  • Montana Senate Election Margin of VictoryPolymarket
    • Republican 9-12%22%
    • Republican 12-15%17%
    • Republican 6-9%15%▼2
    • Republican 15-18%14%▼2
    • Republican 18-21%12%
    • Republican 3-6%12%▲3
    • + 3 more outcomes
    $23K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 17m ago
  • Montana Senate Election: TurnoutPolymarket
    • 450K-500K32%▲3
    • 500K-550K31%▼14
    • 600K+12%
    • 350K-400K8%▲2
    • 550K-600K6%▼1
    • <350K5%
    • + 1 more outcome
    $7K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 17m ago
  • Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?Polymarket
    • New Jersey59%
    • Montana41%
    $235 traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 37m ago

Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.

In the news

No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.

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