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Kansas Senate Race 2026
Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Roger Marshall, Adam Hamilton.
Prediction markets
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- Roger Marshall63%
- Adam Hamilton38%
- Kansas Senate Election WinnerPolymarket
- Roger Marshall (R)63%▲1
- Adam Hamilton (D)38%▼1
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- Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win54%
- Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win22%▼2
- Cindy Holscher and Adam Hamilton win20%▼1
- Cindy Holscher and Roger Marshall win3%▲1
- Kansas Senate and Governor ComboPolymarket
- Reps sweep56%
- Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate22%▼3
- Dems sweep19%▲2
- Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate3%
- Kansas Senate Election Margin of VictoryPolymarket
- Marshall 0-5%42%
- Hamilton Wins36%
- Marshall 5-10%15%▲2
- Marshall 10-15%9%▼1
- Marshall 15-20%4%▼1
- Marshall 25-30%3%▼1
- + 2 more outcomes
- Kansas Senate Election: TurnoutPolymarket
- 1.1M-1.2M49%▲2
- 1M-1.1M28%▲2
- 1.2M+14%▼1
- 900K-1M8%▼1
- <800K5%▼1
- 800K-900K5%
- Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska?Polymarket
- Kansas59%▼3
- Nebraska42%
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.
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