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NY-15 House Race 2026 (New York)
Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Ritchie Torres, Stylo Sapaskis.
Prediction markets
- NY-15 House Election WinnerPolymarket
- Ritchie Torres (D)98%
- Stylo Sapaskis (R)1%
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- Ritchie Torres99%
- Stylo Sapaskis2%
- NY-15 House Election Margin of VictoryPolymarket
- Democrat 65-70%28%▼3
- Democrat 60-65%28%▼3
- Democrat 55-60%12%▼5
- Democrat 70-75%11%▼4
- Democrat 75%+7%▼6
- Democrat 50-55%6%
- + 3 more outcomes
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.
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