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MI-12 House Race 2026 (Michigan)
Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Rashida Tlaib, James Hooper.
Prediction markets
- MI-12 House Election WinnerPolymarket
- Rashida Tlaib (D)98%
- James Hooper (R)<1%
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- Rashida Tlaib99%▲3
- James Hooper2%▼1
- MI-12 House Election Margin of VictoryPolymarket
- Democrat 55-60%25%▲1
- Democrat 50-55%22%▼1
- Democrat 45-50%19%▲1
- Democrat 35-40%14%▲1
- Democrat 60-65%10%▼3
- Democrat 40-45%9%▼6
- + 3 more outcomes
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.
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